2019 Salvadoran presidential election – Wikipedia

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2019 Salvadoran presidential election
Opinion polls
Registered 5,268,411
Turnout 51.88% ( Decrease3.44pp)
Results by department

Results by department

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A presidential election was held in El Salvador on 3 February 2019, with Salvadorans electing the president and vice president to a five-year term from 2019 to 2024.

The election resulted in victory for Nayib Bukele of the right-wing Grand Alliance for National Unity (GANA), winning 53.10 percent of the vote. He defeated Carlos Calleja of the right-wing Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA), Hugo Martínez of the left-wing Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN), and Josué Alvarado of the centrist Vamos party. [first] With his victory, Bukele became the first president since José Napoleón Duarte (1984–1989) to not be a member of either ARENA or the FMLN, which had controlled the presidency in a two-party system from 1989 to 2019.

Prior to the election, Bukele held a lead against Calleja, Martínez, and Alvarado in virtually every poll conducted between July 2018 and January 2019. A second round in March was rendered unnecessary as Bukele won an outright majority; Bukele won a plurality in all of the country’s fourteen departments, winning an outright majority in eight of them. [2] [3] Bukele was inaugurated on 1 June 2019. [4]

Electoral system [ edit ]

Electoral procedure [ edit ]

In October 2017, the Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) scheduled El Salvador’s upcoming 2019 presidential election to occur on 3 February 2019, with a possible second round being scheduled for 10 March 2019. In the election, Salvadorans would elect the country’s president and vice president to serve a five-year term from 2019 to 2024. [5]

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A presidential candidate needed to win an absolute absolute majority (50% + 1) to be declared the winner of the election. If no candidate received an absolute majority, a second between the two candidates with the most valid votes would have occurred. All presidential and vice presidential candidates must have been at least 30 years old and be Salvadoran citizens by birth. [6] [7]

Electoral dates [ edit ]

The following tables lists dates which mark events which related to the election. [5]

Date Event
2 February 2018 Deadline for voters to change address
4 April 2018 Deadline for parties to convoke primary elections
2 October 2018 Beginning of electoral campaigning
5 October 2018 Deadline for the TSE to convoke the presidential election
3 February 2019 Presidential election
10 March 2019 Second round (if necessary)

Background [ edit ]

PRESIDENCY OF SALVADOR SÁNCHEZ CERÉN [ edit ]

Salvador Sánchez Cerén, the then vice president of El Salvador, won the 2014 presidential election by a narrow margin. As a member of the left-wing Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN), he defeated Norman Quijano, the then mayor of San Salvador of the right-wing Nationalist Republican Alliance, in that election’s second round, winning 50.11 percent of the vote by a margin of 6,364 votes. [8] Sánchez Cerén was inaugurated on 1 June 2014, succeeding fellow FMLN President Mauricio Funes. He was the first former guerrilla fighter from the Salvadoran Civil War to be elected president. [9]

Although in control of the presidency, the FMLN did not have a majority of the Legislative Assembly, with power being divided between it, ARENA, and various other political parties. In the 2015 legislative election, the FMLN won 31 seats and ARENA won 35 seats, with the remaining 18 seats being controlled by other parties. [ten] In the succeeding 2018 legislative election, the FMLN fell to 23 seats while ARENA increased to 38 seats, with the remaining 23 seats being controlled by other parties. [11]

Electoral campaigns [ edit ]

Nationalist Republican Alliance [ edit ]

A billboard promoting Calleja’s campaign, reading: “Vote for Calleja, the president of labor”.

On 27 October 2017, Mauricio Interiano [ is ] , the president of the Nationalist Republican Alliance, announced that the party would hold its primary election on 22 April 2018. [twelfth] Five members of the party expressed interest in securing the party’s presidential nomination: [twelfth] [13]

In December 2017, Awad and Montalvo were eliminated from competition, while Calleja, Simán, and López advanced to the party’s primary election [13] where Calleja won 60.8 percent of the vote, officially becoming the party’s presidential nominee. [14]

Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front [ edit ]

On 28 February 2018, the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front announced that it would hold its primary election on 27 May 2018. [15] [16] Óscar Ortiz, the then vice president of El Salvador, was a potential candidate to secure the party’s nomination, but he declined to run after Salvador Cerén appointed him as the technical secretary of the presidency. [16] Two party members announced their intention to seek the party’s presidential nomination: [16] [17]

On 27 May 2018, Hugo Martínez was selected as the party’s presidential nominee, winning 72.09 percent of the vote. [18] The party elected Karina Sosa, a former deputy of the Legislative Assembly, as the party’s vice presidential nominee. [19]

2018 FMLN presidential primary election
Candidate Votes %
Hugo Martinez 20,259 72.09
Gerson Martínez [ is ] 7,845 27.91
Total 28,104 100.00
Valid votes 28,104 99.47
Invalid/blank votes 150 0.53
Total votes 28,254 100.00
Source: The world

Grand Alliance for National Unity [ edit ]

The Grand Alliance for National Unity held its primary election on 29 July 2018. Two candidates participated in the election, Nayib Bukele, the former mayor of San Salvador from 2015 to 2018, and Will Salgado [ is ] , the former mayor of San Miguel, but the day before the election, Salgado announced that he withdrew from the primary. Although Salgado withdrew, his name was still on the ballot, [20] but regardless, Bukele won 93.71 percent of the vote and was selected as the party’s presidential nominee. [21] [20]

2018 GANA presidential primary election
Candidate Votes %
Nayib Bukele 1.863 93.71
Will Salgado [ is ] (withdrawn) 125 6.29
Total 1,988 100.00
Valid votes 1,988 96.41
Invalid votes 65 3.15
Blank votes 9 0.44
Total votes 2.062 100.00
Source: The world

Debates [ edit ]

Two presidential debates were held; the first was hosted by the University of El Salvador (UES) on 16 December 2018 and the second was hosted by the Salvadoran Association of Broadcasters [ is ] (Asders). Location, Martinez, and Alvarado Attended Both debates, While bukele absent from both. [22] [23]

Opinion polls [ edit ]

Opinion polling from July 2018 through January 2019 consistently gave Bukele a lead over Calleja, Martínez, and Alvarado.

Presidential election polls
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Carlos Calleja Hugo Martínez Josué Alvarado Nayib Bukele Lead Ref.
Calleja
(ARENA) 		MARTÍNEZ
(FMLN) 		Alvarado
(LET’S GO) 		Save
(Pretty) 		Undecided None
Try 17 Jan 2019 2.012 19.0 13.0 1.0 61.0 3.0 3.0 42.0 [24]
CDOP 17 Jan 2019 1,300 27.3 10.5 1.0 36.1 9.6 15.1 8.8 [25]
Ciops/utec 16 Jan 2019 2.113 24.0 8.1 0.6 40.4 26.1 – 16.4 [26]
UFG 15 Jan 2019 1,536 21.8 8.1 1.0 42.6 18.4 8.1 20.8 [27]
CIG-Gallup 11 Jan 2019 1,000 23.0 8.0 1.0 42.0 26.0 – 19.0 [28]
Mitofsky 8 Jan 2019 1,000 31.0 11.0 1.0 57.0 – – 26.0 [29]
Iudop/uca 13 Dec 2018 1.806 19.7 10.6 0.8 44.1 22.3 2.5 24.4 [30]
Tresearch 11 Dec 2018 1,000 31.0 10.3 1.3 57.4 – – 26.4 [thirty first]
UES 10 Dec 2018 1.557 17.34 8.73 0.26 48.43 25.24 – 31.09 [32]
Pronounce 7 Dec 2018 1.985 21.4 11.3 0.6 42.0 15.0 9.7 20.6 [33]
Tresearch 5 Dec 2018 1,000 31.3 10.4 1.3 57.0 – – 25.7 [34]
Ciops/utec 5 Dec 2018 2.133 24.5 10.4 0.9 40.5 12.8 10.9 16.0 [35]
The printing press 29 Nov 2018 2,000 16.8 6.9 0.5 28.9 5.7 41.2 12.1 [36]
Tresearch 25 Nov 2018 1,000 31.9 10.8 1.4 55.9 – – 24.0 [37]
Pronounce 20 Nov 2018 1,068 14.2 10.2 1.9 35.1 10.0 28.6 20.9 [38]
UFG 19 Nov 2018 1,538 21.4 6.4 1.5 40.7 21.2 8.7 19.3 [39]
CID-Gallup 1 Nov 2018 1,000 28.0 16.0 1.0 44.0 – 1.0 16.0 [40]
Tresearch 29 Oct 2018 1,000 32.2 9.0 0.9 56.6 – 1.3 24.4 [41]
Tresearch 24 Oct 2018 1,000 32.1 9.3 1.1 56.5 – 1.0 24.4 [42]
ICP 23 Oct 2018 1,400 31.7 13.6 0.6 33.3 – 20.8 1.6 [43]
Tresearch 15 Oct 2018 1,000 31.8 9.4 1.0 56.1 – 1.7 24.3 [44]
Ciops/utec 9 Oct 2018 2.133 21.0 10.5 1.0 48.0 19.5 – 27.0 [45]
Try 8 Oct 2018 1,400 21.0 11.0 1.0 45.0 11.0 11.0 24.0 [forty six]
Tresearch 1 Oct 2018 1,000 32.4 10.9 1.1 54.6 – 1.0 22.2 [47]
CID-Gallup 26 Sept 2018 1,205 20.0 7.0 1.0 45.0 27.0 – 25.0 [48]
The printing press 31 Aug 2018 1,520 17.6 8.6 0.3 21.9 37.5 14.1 4.3 [49]
UFG 28 Aug 2018 1,295 23.0 10.0 2.3 37.7 26.0 1.0 14.7 [50]
Tresearch 19 Aug 2018 3,600 30.2 9.7 1.1 55.9 – 3.1 25.7 [51]
Tresearch 31 Jul 2018 3,600 31.7 9.7 2.8 55.8 – – 24.1 [52]
CID-Gallup 30 Jul 2018 806 24.0 5.0 0.0 38.0 33.0 – 14.0 [53]
2014 election 9 Mar 2014 N/A 49.89 50.11 – – – – 0.22 [8]

Results [ edit ]

Candidate Running mate Party Votes %
Nayib Bukele Félix Ulloa Grand Alliance for National Unity 1,434,856 53.10
Carlos Calleja Carmen Aída Lazo Nationalist Republican Alliance 857.084 31.72
Hugo Martinez Karina Sosa Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front 389,289 14.41
Josué Alvarado Roberto Rivera Let’s go 20,763 0.77
Total 2,701,992 100.00
Valid votes 2,701,992 98.86
Invalid/blank votes 31,186 1.14
Total votes 2,733,178 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 5,268,411 51.88
Source: That

By department [ edit ]

Department ARENA FMLN Let’s go Pretty
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ahuachapán 50.051 36.10 28,257 20.38 660 0.47 59,689 43.05
Cabañas 26,325 39.61 8,586 12.92 199 0.30 31,346 47.17
Chalatenango 30,364 32.40 20,934 22.34 316 0.34 42.092 44.92
Cuscatlán 39,098 33.89 17,882 15.50 609 0.52 57,795 50.09
Freedom 117.092 37.25 33,823 9.85 3.756 1.10 177,832 51.80
Peace 40,762 29.41 17,357 12.53 656 0.47 79,803 57.59
The Union 29,138 31.82 12,256 13.39 295 0.32 49,871 54.47
Morazán 26,007 32.13 23,102 28.54 193 0.23 31,649 39.10
San Miguel 43,960 24.36 37,529 20.80 906 0.50 98.064 54.34
San Salvador 246,792 29.99 86,656 10.53 9,582 1.16 479,991 58.32
Santa Ana 77,550 34.09 24,695 10.86 1.821 0.80 123,413 54.25
San Vicente 22,786 31.33 15,921 21.89 266 0.36 33,765 46.42
Sonsonate 60,796 31.62 28,599 14.87 1.095 0.57 101,794 52.94
Usulután 35,422 26.47 33,350 24.93 406 0.30 64,619 48.30
Total 857.084 31.72 389,289 14.41 20,763 0.77 1,434,856 53.10
Source: That

See also [ edit ]

References [ edit ]

  1. ^ Sweigart, Emilie (30 January 2019). “El Salvador: Meet the Candidates in Latin America’s First Election of 2019” . Americas Quarterly . Archived from the original on 3 February 2019 . Retrieved 3 February 2019 .
  2. ^ “This is how the vote counting in the presidential elections of El Salvador advances” . elsalvador.com. 3 February 2019 . Retrieved 4 February 2019 .
  3. ^ “El Salvador: Anti-Corruption Candidate Nayib Bukele Wins Presidential Election” . The Guardian . 4 February 2019 . Retrieved 4 February 2019 .
  4. ^ Toedte, Blaine (1 June 2019). “Nayib Bukele: El Salvador’s Incoming Leader Promises ‘New Era’ ” . BBC . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  5. ^ a b Rivera, Edgardo (16 October 2017). “TSE defines date for presidential election 2019” [TSE Defines Date for the 2019 Presidential Election]. The world (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 9 January 2019 . Retrieved 9 January 2019 .
  6. ^ “Constitution of El Salvador” (PDF) . Richmond.edu . 15 December 1983. pp. Articles 78–80. Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 January 2015 . Retrieved 12 November 2021 .
  7. ^ Nohlen, Dieter (2005). Elections in the Americas A Data Handbook Volume 1: North America, Central America, and the Caribbean . Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press. pp. 272–274. ISBN  97801957934 . OCLC  58051010 . Retrieved 9 January 2023 .
  8. ^ a b Supreme Electoral Court (2014). “Special Memorial – 2014″ Elections ” [Special Memory – 2014 Elections] (PDF) . Supreme Electoral Court (in Spanish). p. 144 . Retrieved 9 January 2023 .
  9. ^ “Ex-rebel Sworn in as El Salvador President” . Al Jazeera . 2 June 2014 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  10. ^ Supreme Electoral Court (2018). “Special Memorial – 2015″ Elections ” [Special Memory – 2015 Elections] (PDF) . Supreme Electoral Court (in Spanish). p. 133 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  11. ^ Supreme Electoral Court (2018). “Special Memorial – 2018″ Elections ” [Special Memory – 2018 Elections] (PDF) . Supreme Electoral Court (in Spanish). p. 104 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  12. ^ a b Rivera, Edgardo (28 October 2017). “Arena will choose a candidate for presidency April 22, 2018” [ARENA Will Elect Those Who Aspire the Presidency on 22 April 2018]. The world (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 7 April 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  13. ^ a b “Gerardo Awad and Rafael Montalvo are out of competition for presidential candidacy in Arena” [Gerardo Awad and Rafael Montalvo Remain Outside of Competition for ARENA’s Presidential Candidacy]. The printing press (in Spanish). 19 December 2017 . Retrieved 2 April 2019 .
  14. ^ “Carlos Calleja, presidential sand candidate for elections 2019” [Carlos Calleja, Presidential Candidate of ARENA for the 2019 Elections]. El Salvador.com (in Spanish). 22 April 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  15. ^ Meléndez, Cristian (28 February 2018). “FMLN summons internal election for presidential candidate; dome has already supported Gerson Martínez” [FMLN Calls for Internal Election for Presidential Candidate; Cúpula Already Supported Gerson Martínez]. The printing press (in Spanish) . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  16. ^ a b c “FMLN summons registration of presidency candidates” [FMLN Convokes the Inscription of Pre-Candidates to the Presidency]. El Salvador.com (in Spanish). 11 April 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  17. ^ “Hugo Martínez is registered as presidential candidate for FMLN inmates” [Hugo Martinez Inscriptions Humself the pre-candidate for the for the international FMLn’s The world (in Spanish). 23 April 2018. Archived from the original on 23 April 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 . {{cite web}} : CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  18. ^ “Hugo Martínez won with 20,259 votes in the FMLN” [Hugo Martínez Won With 20.559 VOTEs in the FMLN] The world (in Spanish). 27 May 2018. Archived from the original on 21 April 2019 . Retrieved 3 April 2023 .
  19. ^ “FMLN and PCN ratify their candidates for vice president” [FMLN and PCN Ratify Their Candidates for Vice President]. The world (in Spanish). 27 May 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  20. ^ a b “He wins his internal elections” [GANA Initiates Its Internal Elections]. The world (in Spanish). 29 July 2018. Archived from the original on 29 July 2018 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  21. ^ “Nayib Bukele becomes a presidential candidate for Winter” [Nayib Bukele Becomes the Presidential Candidate for GANA]. The world (in Spanish). 29 July 2018. Archived from the original on 5 February 2019 . Retrieved 3 April 2023 .
  22. ^ a b JURA, V.; Avelar, Ricardo (16 December 2018). “Candidates for the Presidency debated at the University of El Salvador” [Presidential Candidates Debated in the University of El Salvador]. El Salvador.com (in Spanish) . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  23. ^ a b TEJADA, R.; Avelar, Ricardo (13 January 2019). “Three presidential candidates raised their proposals in Asder’s debate” [Three Presidential Candidates Raised Their Proposals in the ASDER Debate]. El Salvador.com (in Spanish) . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  24. ^ “CONARES SURVEY FOR PRESIDENTIALS: Win 61%, Arena 19%, FMLN 13%and let’s go 1%” [CONARES Poll for the Presidential Election: GANA 61%, ARENA 19%, FMLN 13%, and VAMOS 1%]. The Salvador Times (in Spanish). 18 January 2019 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  25. ^ “Public Opinion Center – Calleja grows in preferences and ensures passes to Second Electoral Back” [Center of Public Opinion – Calleja Grows in Preferences and Assures Pass to Second Electoral Round]. Cronio (in Spanish). 17 January 2019 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  26. ^ Chicas, Kory (17 January 2019). “Utec survey for presidential elections: earn 40.4%, 24%sand, FMLN 8.1%and go 0.6%” [UTEC Poll for Presidential Elections: Gana 40.4%, Arena 24%, FMLN 8.1%, and VAMOS The Salvador Times (in Spanish) . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  27. ^ “Win and Bukele have conquered voters between 18 and 39 years” [GANA and Bukele have Conquered Voters Between 18 and 39 Years]. Disruptive (in Spanish). 15 January 2019 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  28. ^ “The Arena and FMLN games are still downward in the surveys” [The ARENA and FMLN Parties Continue to Fall in the Polls]. Last minute (in Spanish). 11 January 2019 . Retrieved 2 April 2023 .
  29. ^ “Survey: Presidential election in El Salvador” [Poll: Presidential Election in El Salvador]. Mitofsky (in Spanish). 8 January 2019. [ dead link ]
  30. ^ “UCA survey for presidential ones: wins 44.1%, Arena 19.7%, FMLN 10.6%and let’s go 0.8%” . The Salvador Times . 13 December 2018 . Retrieved 13 December 2018 .
  31. ^ “#ElSalvador #enStadiaria #137 Act. 7: 00hrs | 7-11/Dec/2018 @nayibbukele 57.4% @jcCalleja 31.0%” . TRESEARCHMX . 10 December 2018. Archived from the original on 6 December 2018 . Retrieved 12 December 2018 .
  32. ^ “UES Survey: WIN/NI 61.68%, Arena 25.65%, FMLN 11.94%” . The blog . 10 December 2018 . Retrieved 12 December 2018 .
  33. ^ “Nine out of 10 Salvadorans believe it is worth going to vote” . Pronounce . 7 December 2018 . Retrieved 7 December 2018 .
  34. ^ “#ElSalvador #Vote2019 (03-07/Dec/18)” . TRESEARCHMX . December 2018. Archived from the original on 6 December 2018 . Retrieved 7 December 2018 .
  35. ^ “Utec: Nayib would win in the first round with the valid votes” . LPG . December 2018 . Retrieved 5 December 2018 .
  36. ^ “Win continues in the presidential race” . LPG . November 2018 . Retrieved 29 November 2018 .
  37. ^ “Tresearch: Nayib Bukele maintains the intention of votes for the presidential ones” . TRESEARCHMX . November 2018 . Retrieved 25 November 2018 .
  38. ^ “Encuesta fundung” . UFG . November 2018 . Retrieved 20 November 2018 .
  39. ^ “Bukele and people determined to vote up on the new UFG survey” . UFG . November 2018 . Retrieved 19 November 2018 .
  40. ^ “CID-Gallup” . CID-Gallup . November 2018. Archived from the original on 18 December 2018 . Retrieved 1 November 2018 .
  41. ^ “Individual entrance | Tresearch | Marketing | Survey | Research | Mexico” . TRESEARCHMX . October 2018. Archived from the original on 26 October 2018 . Retrieved 29 October 2018 .
  42. ^ “#ElSalvador #Voto2019 (21/Oct/18) @nayibbukele 56.5% @jccalleja 32.1%”. TRESEARCHMX . October 2018.
  43. ^ “New survey reveals the close electoral fight between Calleja and Bukele” . El Mundo Diario . 23 October 2018 . Retrieved 4 February 2019 .
  44. ^ “#ElSalvador #Voto2019 (15/Oct/18) @nayibbukele 56.1% @jccalleja 31.8%” . TRESEARCHMX . October 2018. Archived from the original on 15 October 2018 . Retrieved 15 October 2018 .
  45. ^ “#Encuestec” . Utec . October 2018 . Retrieved 9 October 2018 .
  46. ^ “Rectors Council: Nayib would win in the first round” . Try . October 2018 . Retrieved 8 October 2018 .
  47. ^ “#ElSalvador #Electoral Survey #Vote2019 (SEP/19)” . Tresearch . October 2018. Archived from the original on 2 October 2018 . Retrieved 1 October 2018 .
  48. ^ “Recust CID Gallup: Nayib Bukele 45%, Carlos Street 20%, Hugo Martinez 7% and Joshua Alvarado 1%” . The footprint . August 2018. Archived from the original on 27 September 2018 . Retrieved 26 September 2018 .
  49. ^ “Electoral is inclined to win” . The printing press . August 2018 . Retrieved 31 August 2018 .
  50. ^ “UFG survey: Bukele 37.6%; Calleja 22.9%and Hugo Martínez 9.9%” . The blog . August 2018 . Retrieved 28 August 2018 .
  51. ^ “TRESEARCH: #elsalvador #encuesta electoral #voto2019 (ago/19)” . TRESEARCHMX . July 2018. Archived from the original on 20 August 2018 . Retrieved 30 July 2018 .
  52. ^ “Tresearch: Nayib Bukele maintains the intention of votes for the presidential ones” . TRESEARCHMX . July 2018 . Retrieved 30 July 2018 .
  53. ^ “Nayib Bukele iCia first in the race for the presidency” . CID Gallup . July 2018. Archived from the original on 31 July 2018 . Retrieved 30 July 2018 .

External links [ edit ]

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