2016 United States presidential election in Texas

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Election in Texas

2016 United States presidential election in Texas
Turnout 59.4% (of registered voters) Increase
46.5% (of voting age population)[1]
Texas Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
2016 Election in Texas by Precinct(2022 VTD) (4).svg

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color

Treemap of the popular vote by county

The 2016 United States presidential election in Texas took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Primary elections were held on March 1, 2016.

Texas was won by Republican Donald Trump and his running mate Mike Pence by a 8.99% margin over Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine. The Lone Star State assigned its 38 Electoral College votes to the state’s popular vote winner, but two faithless electors chose other candidates, making Texas the only state in 2016 to give Trump fewer than the assigned electoral votes. Even then, its 36 electoral votes were Trump’s largest electoral prize in 2016.

When the Electoral College met on December 19, 2016, only 36 out of the 38 electors voted for Trump for president. Two electors defected; one voted for Ohio Governor John Kasich, and the other voted for Congressman Ron Paul. For vice president, 37 electors voted for Pence, while one voted for Carly Fiorina. This was the first time since 1976 where a Republican presidential candidate lost a pledged vote via a faithless elector; that year, Gerald Ford lost a Washington state electoral vote to fellow Republican Ronald Reagan. Additionally, this was the first time since 1972 that the winning presidential candidate lost an electoral vote, when Richard Nixon lost a Virginia electoral vote to Libertarian Party nominee John Hospers.

Texas was one of the eleven states where Clinton improved on Barack Obama’s performance in 2012.[2] Clinton lost Texas by a smaller margin than any Democrat since 1996 (though Barack Obama got a slightly larger percentage of the vote in 2008), which analysts attributed to Trump losing ground with college-educated white voters. Trump’s performance in the Lone Star state was the weakest of any victorious Republican nominee since Richard Nixon became the last Republican to be elected president without Texas in 1968. Trump was the tenth consecutive Republican presidential nominee to win Texas, beginning with Reagan in 1980. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Bexar County since Richard Nixon in 1968, as well as the first to do so without carrying Fort Bend County since Herbert Hoover in 1928, and to do so without carrying Harris or Dallas County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924.

Primaries[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

The Texas Democratic Party held their state’s primary in concurrence with the other Super Tuesday contests on March 1. Eight candidates appeared on the ballot, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, dropped-out candidate Martin O’Malley and five minor candidates (Rocky De La Fuente, Willie Wilson, Star Locke, Keith Russell Judd and Calvis Hawes.) The Texas Democratic primary had 251 delegates to the Democratic National Convention: 222 pledged delegates and 29 super delegates. 145 delegates were allocated proportionally based on the results in the state’s 31 senatorial districts. The other 77 pledged delegates were allocated proportionally based on the statewide popular vote.[3]

Results[edit]

2016 Texas Democratic Party presidential primary[4]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged delegates Super delegates Total delegates
America Symbol.svg Hillary Clinton 936,004 65.19% 147 21 168
Bernie Sanders 476,547 33.19% 75 0 75
Rocky De Le Fuente 8,429 0.59% 0 0 0
Martin O’Malley 5,364 0.37% 0 0 0
Willie Wilson 3,254 0.23% 0 0 0
Keith Russell Judd 2,569 0.18% 0 0 0
Calvis L. Hawes 2,017 0.14% 0 0 0
Star Locke 1,711 0.12% 0 0 0
Uncommitted n/a 8 8
Total: 1,435,895 100% 222 29 251
Key: Withdrew prior to contest

Republican primary[edit]

2016 Texas Republican presidential primary
Texas Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg

Texas results by county      Ted Cruz      Donald Trump

Debates and forums[edit]

February 24, 2016 – Houston, Texas

Megyn Kelly hosted a two-hour town hall event on The Kelly File with Kasich, Cruz, Rubio, and Carson in attendance. Trump did not participate in the forum.[5]

February 25, 2016 – Houston, Texas

After the caucus in Nevada, the tenth debate was held at the University of Houston in Houston and broadcast by CNN as its third of four debates, in conjunction with Telemundo. The debate aired five days before 14 states voted on Super Tuesday, March 1. While the debate was to be held in partnership with Telemundo’s English-language counterpart NBC, RNC Chairman Reince Priebus announced on October 30, 2015, that it had suspended the partnership in response to CNBC’s “bad faith” in handling the October 28, 2015, debate.[8][9] On January 18, 2016, the RNC announced that CNN would replace NBC News as the main host of the debate, in partnership with Telemundo and Salem Communications (CNN’s conservative media partner). The debate was shifted a day earlier at the same time.[10]National Review was disinvited by the Republican National Committee from co-hosting the debate over its criticism of GOP front-runner Donald Trump.[11] On February 19, the criteria for invitation to the debate was announced: in addition to having official statements of candidacy with the Federal Election Commission and accepting the rules of the debate, candidates must have received at least 5% support in one of the first four election contests held in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada.[12] By these criteria, all five remaining candidates, Carson, Cruz, Kasich, Rubio, and Trump, qualified for invitation to the debate. The 155 delegates to the Republican National Convention were allocated in this way. 108 delegates are allocated by congressional district; 3 per district. If a candidate gets over 50% of the vote in a congressional district; they would win all of the district’s 3 delegates. If no one had a majority and one candidate had at least 20% of the vote, the candidate winning the plurality would get 2 delegates and the candidate in second place would get 1 delegate. If nobody receives at least 20% of the vote, the top 3 vote-getters each get 1 delegate. There were another 47 at-large delegates. If someone received more than 50% of the vote, they would get all of the at-large delegates. If no one got more than 50% of the vote and there were at least 2 candidates that got over 20% of the vote, the delegates would be allocated proportionally among the candidates receiving more than 20% of the vote. If only one candidate got over 20% of the vote and not a majority, the delegates would be allocated between the candidate that got over 20% of the vote and the candidate who received the 2nd most votes. If no candidate got 20%, they would allocate all of the 47 at-large delegates proportionally.[13]

Results[edit]

2016 Texas Republican Party presidential primary[14]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz 1,241,118 43.76% 104
Donald Trump 758,762 26.75% 48
Marco Rubio 503,055 17.74% 3
John Kasich 120,473 4.25% 0
Ben Carson 117,969 4.16% 0
Jeb Bush 35,420 1.25% 0
Uncommitted 29,609 1.04% 0
Rand Paul 8,000 0.28% 0
Mike Huckabee 6,226 0.22% 0
Elizabeth Gray 5,449 0.19% 0
Chris Christie 3,448 0.12% 0
Carly Fiorina 3,247 0.11% 0
Rick Santorum 2,006 0.07% 0
Lindsey Graham 1,706 0.06% 0
Total: 2,836,488 100% 155
Key: Withdrew prior to contest

Green Party convention[edit]

The Texas Green Party held its party caucuses at conventions at the precinct level on March 8,[15] the county level on March 12,[16] and the district level on March 19,[17] leading up to the state nominating convention in Grey Forest, Texas, on April 9 and 10.[18]

On April 10 it was announced that Jill Stein had won the state convention.[19]

Texas Green Party presidential caucus, Saturday, April 9, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
America Symbol.svg Jill Stein – – 15
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry – – 3
Darryl Cherney – – 2
Kent Mesplay – – 2
William Kreml – – 1
Total – 100.00% 23

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Trump won every single pre-election poll with margins varying from 2 to 14 points. Trump won the last poll 49% to 35% and the average of the last three polls showed Trump leading 50% to 38%.[20]

Predictions[edit]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Texas as of Election Day.

Results[edit]

The voting age population was 19,307,355, of which 15,101,087 were registered to vote. Turnout was 8,969,226, which is 46.45% of the voting age population and 59.39% of registered voters. The early voting period lasted for two weeks ending November 4, with 43.5% of registered voters casting early or absentee ballots. Out of those who cast votes, 73% cast their ballots early or absentee and 26% voted on Election Day.[30]

Thirteen candidates received write-in votes, of which the large majority (42,366) went to Evan McMullin.

2012-2016 Swing by Precinct

  •   >50%

  •   40-50%

  •   30-40%

  •   20-30%

  •   15-20%

  •   10-15%

  •   5-10%

  •   1-5%

  •   1-5%

  •   5-10%

  •   10-15%

  •   15-20%

  •   20-30%

  •   30-40%

  •   40-50%

  •   >50%

By county[edit]

County [34] Hillary R. Clinton Donald J. Trump Gary E. Johnson Jill E. Stein Others Margin Total
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Anderson 3,369 19.84% 13,201 77.76% 308 1.81% 57 0.34% 42 0.25% 9,832 57.91% 16,977
Andrews 836 16.91% 3,927 79.45% 147 2.97% 18 0.36% 15 0.30% 3,091 62.53% 4,943
Angelina 7,538 25.20% 21,668 72.44% 560 1.87% 106 0.35% 39 0.13% 14,130 47.24% 29,911
Aransas 2,465 23.45% 7,740 73.63% 238 2.26% 41 0.39% 28 0.27% 5,275 50.18% 10,512
Archer 394 9.20% 3,786 88.40% 80 1.87% 10 0.23% 13 0.30% 3,392 79.20% 4,283
Armstrong 70 6.86% 924 90.50% 18 1.76% 5 0.49% 4 0.39% 854 83.64% 1,021
Atascosa 4,651 34.02% 8,618 63.03% 308 2.25% 65 0.48% 31 0.23% 3,967 29.01% 13,673
Austin 2,320 18.90% 9,637 78.52% 248 2.02% 51 0.42% 18 0.15% 7,317 59.61% 12,274
Bailey 397 22.14% 1,344 74.96% 39 2.18% 5 0.28% 8 0.45% 947 52.82% 1,793
Bandera 1,726 16.89% 8,163 79.89% 262 2.56% 66 0.65% 1 0.01% 6,437 63.00% 10,218
Bastrop 10,569 37.14% 16,328 57.38% 1,063 3.74% 320 1.12% 174 0.61% 5,759 20.24% 28,454
Baylor 191 12.74% 1,267 84.52% 31 2.07% 3 0.20% 7 0.47% 1,076 71.78% 1,499
Bee 3,444 40.59% 4,744 55.91% 238 2.80% 34 0.40% 25 0.29% 1,300 15.32% 8,485
Bell 37,801 39.79% 51,998 54.74% 3,824 4.03% 812 0.85% 559 0.59% 14,197 14.95% 94,994
Bexar 319,550 54.19% 240,333 40.76% 20,091 3.41% 6,645 1.13% 3,026 0.51% -79,217 -13.43% 589,645
Blanco 1,244 21.88% 4,212 74.09% 180 3.17% 33 0.58% 16 0.28% 2,968 52.21% 5,685
Borden 31 8.49% 330 90.41% 3 0.82% 1 0.27% 0 0.00% 299 81.92% 365
Bosque 1,278 16.31% 6,339 80.88% 155 1.98% 40 0.51% 26 0.33% 4,161 47.62% 7,838
Bowie 8,838 25.54% 24,924 72.03% 582 1.68% 145 0.42% 113 0.33% 16,086 46.49% 34,602
Brazoria 43,200 35.65% 72,791 60.07% 3,768 3.11% 806 0.67% 616 0.51% 29,591 24.42% 121,181
Brazos 23,121 34.40% 38,738 57.64% 3,813 5.67% 536 0.80% 1,003 1.49% 15,617 23.24% 67,211
Brewster 1,873 44.05% 2,077 48.85% 210 4.94% 77 1.81% 15 0.35% 204 4.80% 4,252
Briscoe 91 12.36% 625 84.92% 14 1.90% 4 0.54% 2 0.27% 534 72.55% 736
Brooks 1,937 74.61% 613 23.61% 32 1.23% 14 0.54% 0 0.00% -1,324 -51.00% 2,596
Brown 1,621 11.56% 12,017 85.68% 253 1.80% 65 0.46% 70 0.50% 10,396 74.12% 14,026
Burleson 1,491 21.42% 5,316 76.38% 118 1.70% 20 0.29% 15 0.22% 3,825 54.96% 6,960
Burnet 3,797 19.77% 14,638 76.22% 564 2.94% 104 0.54% 101 0.53% 10,841 56.45% 19,204
Caldwell 4,795 39.65% 6,691 55.33% 446 3.69% 105 0.87% 55 0.45% 1,896 15.68% 12,092
Calhoun 2,118 30.41% 4,638 66.59% 168 2.41% 33 0.47% 8 0.11% 2,520 36.18% 6,965
Callahan 569 10.20% 4,865 87.20% 107 1.92% 23 0.41% 15 0.27% 4,296 77.00% 5,579
Cameron 59,402 64.51% 29,472 32.01% 2,236 2.43% 822 0.89% 147 0.16% -29,930 -32.50% 92,079
Camp 1,260 27.74% 3,201 70.48% 66 1.45% 15 0.33% 0 0.00% 1,941 42.73% 4,542
Carson 249 8.40% 2,620 88.39% 68 2.29% 11 0.37% 16 0.54% 2,371 80.00% 2,964
Cass 2,391 19.37% 9,726 78.79% 145 1.17% 34 0.28% 48 0.39% 7,335 59.42% 12,344
Castro 526 26.34% 1,414 70.81% 47 2.35% 10 0.50% 0 0.00% 888 44.47% 1,997
Chambers 2,948 17.56% 13,339 79.47% 385 2.29% 59 0.35% 55 0.33% 10391 61.91% 16,786
Cherokee 3,469 20.66% 12,919 76.94% 305 1.82% 34 0.20% 63 0.38% 9450 56.28% 16,790
Childress 253 12.14% 1,802 86.47% 24 1.15% 5 0.24% 0 0.00% 1,549 74.33% 2,084
Clay 536 10.68% 4,377 87.23% 87 1.73% 12 0.24% 6 0.12% 3,841 76.55% 5,018
Cochran 190 21.09% 679 75.36% 29 3.22% 3 0.33% 0 0.00% 489 54.27% 901
Coke 140 9.84% 1,265 88.90% 16 1.12% 2 0.14% 0 0.00% 1,125 79.06% 1,423
Coleman 388 10.65% 3,177 87.21% 53 1.45% 18 0.49% 7 0.19% 2,789 76.56% 3,643
Collin 140,624 38.91% 201,014 55.62% 13,855 3.83% 2,539 0.70% 3,387 0.94% 60,390 16.71% 361,419
Collingsworth 145 12.54% 983 85.03% 22 1.90% 4 0.35% 2 0.17% 838 72.49% 1,156
Colorado 1,987 23.34% 6,325 74.30% 144 1.69% 37 0.43% 20 0.23% 4,338 50.96% 8,513
Comal 14,238 22.90% 45,136 72.59% 2,068 3.33% 343 0.55% 393 0.63% 30,898 49.69% 62,178
Comanche 789 15.07% 4,333 82.74% 88 1.68% 21 0.40% 6 0.11% 3,544 67.67% 5,237
Concho 148 13.86% 885 82.87% 27 2.53% 7 0.66% 1 0.09% 737 69.01% 1,068
Cooke 2,352 14.74% 13,181 82.61% 317 1.99% 60 0.38% 45 0.28% 10,829 67.87% 15,955
Coryell 5,064 27.74% 12,225 66.98% 704 3.86% 161 0.88% 99 0.54% 7,161 39.23% 18,253
Cottle 92 15.03% 506 82.68% 12 1.96% 2 0.33% 0 0.00% 414 67.65% 612
Crane 299 21.60% 1,049 75.79% 28 2.02% 7 0.51% 1 0.07% 750 54.19% 1,384
Crockett 372 26.67% 980 70.25% 39 2.80% 4 0.29% 0 0.00% 608 43.58% 1,395
Crosby 468 27.08% 1,181 68.34% 60 3.47% 5 0.29% 14 0.81% 713 41.26% 1,728
Culberson 454 59.19% 280 36.51% 23 3.00% 6 0.78% 4 0.52% -174 -22.68% 767
Dallam 222 14.38% 1,261 81.67% 46 2.98% 9 0.58% 6 0.39% 1,544
Dallas 461,080 60.75% 262,945 34.64% 24,025 3.17% 6,114 0.81% 4,809 0.63% 758,973
Dawson 835 23.44% 2,636 73.98% 80 2.25% 11 0.31% 1 0.03% 3,563
Deaf Smith 1,185 28.11% 2,911 69.05% 91 2.16% 14 0.33% 15 0.36% 4,216
Delta 400 17.54% 1,836 80.49% 36 1.58% 7 0.31% 2 0.09% 2,281
Denton 110,890 37.13% 170,603 57.13% 11,583 3.88% 2,660 0.89% 2,909 0.97% 298,645
Dewitt 1,163 16.99% 5,519 80.64% 124 1.81% 27 0.39% 11 0.16% 6,844
Dickens 128 14.08% 755 83.06% 23 2.53% 3 0.33% 0 0.00% 909
Dimmit 2,173 67.38% 974 30.20% 57 1.77% 21 0.65% 0 0.00% 3,225
Donley 191 13.04% 1,225 83.62% 40 2.73% 5 0.34% 4 0.27% 1,465
Duval 2,783 66.77% 1,316 31.57% 49 1.18% 19 0.46% 1 0.02% 4,168
Eastland 776 11.14% 6,011 86.33% 120 1.72% 31 0.45% 25 0.36% 6,963
Ector 10,249 28.06% 25,020 68.49% 1,009 2.76% 167 0.46% 85 0.23% 36,530
Edwards 303 28.24% 746 69.52% 17 1.58% 5 0.47% 2 0.19% 1,073
Ellis 16,253 25.53% 44,941 70.58% 1,747 2.74% 325 0.51% 407 0.64% 63,673
El Paso 147,843 69.08% 55,512 25.94% 7,607 3.55% 2,945 1.38% 101 0.05% 214,008
Erath 2,160 15.55% 11,210 80.69% 378 2.72% 68 0.49% 77 0.55% 13,893
Falls 1,684 32.09% 3,441 65.57% 90 1.71% 23 0.44% 10 0.19% 5,248
Fannin 2,132 17.70% 9,548 79.28% 269 2.23% 46 0.38% 49 0.41% 12,044
Fayette 2,144 19.19% 8,743 78.24% 209 1.87% 45 0.40% 33 0.30% 11,174
Fisher 403 23.31% 1,265 73.16% 44 2.54% 10 0.58% 7 0.40% 1,729
Floyd 435 22.21% 1,474 75.24% 47 2.40% 3 0.15% 0 0.00% 1,959
Foard 113 22.03% 383 74.66% 14 2.73% 1 0.19% 2 0.39% 513
Fort Bend 134,686 51.39% 117,291 44.76% 6,907 2.64% 1,783 0.68% 1,399 0.53% 262,066
Franklin 665 15.18% 3,585 81.85% 96 2.19% 12 0.27% 22 0.50% 4,380
Freestone 1,471 19.14% 6,026 78.42% 139 1.81% 13 0.17% 35 0.46% 7,684
Frio 2,444 55.55% 1,856 42.18% 76 1.73% 24 0.55% 0 0.00% 4,400
Gaines 597 12.92% 3,907 84.57% 85 1.84% 20 0.43% 11 0.24% 4,620
Galveston 43,658 35.52% 73,757 60.01% 4,045 3.29% 889 0.72% 554 0.45% 122,903
Garza 230 15.50% 1,225 82.55% 21 1.42% 7 0.47% 1 0.07% 1,484
Gillespie 2,288 17.31% 10,446 79.05% 333 2.52% 61 0.46% 86 0.65% 13,214
Glasscock 34 5.63% 553 91.56% 13 2.15% 2 0.33% 2 0.33% 604
Goliad 973 26.24% 2,620 70.66% 101 2.72% 10 0.27% 4 0.11% 3,708
Gonzales 1,571 24.80% 4,587 72.42% 129 2.04% 28 0.44% 19 0.30% 6,334
Gray 701 9.47% 6,500 87.78% 144 1.94% 22 0.30% 38 0.51% 7,405
Grayson 10,301 21.72% 35,325 74.50% 1,258 2.65% 264 0.56% 268 0.57% 47,416
Gregg 11,677 27.97% 28,764 68.90% 903 2.16% 150 0.36% 255 0.61% 41,749
Grimes 2,194 23.01% 7,065 74.11% 219 2.30% 50 0.52% 5 0.05% 9,533
Guadalupe 18,391 31.81% 36,632 63.35% 2,022 3.50% 412 0.71% 365 0.63% 57,822
Hale 2,101 23.72% 6,366 71.87% 324 3.66% 43 0.49% 24 0.27% 8,858
Hall 164 15.03% 893 81.85% 34 3.12% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 1,091
Hamilton 479 13.23% 3,060 84.53% 64 1.77% 10 0.28% 7 0.19% 3,620
Hansford 171 8.78% 1,730 88.85% 37 1.90% 9 0.46% 0 0.00% 1,947
Hardeman 249 16.46% 1,207 79.78% 48 3.17% 7 0.46% 2 0.13% 1,513
Hardin 2,780 12.20% 19,606 86.07% 353 1.55% 41 0.18% 0 0.00% 22,780
Harris 707,914 53.95% 545,955 41.61% 39,781 3.03% 11,784 0.90% 6,678 0.51% 1,312,112
Harrison 7,151 26.94% 18,749 70.62% 449 1.69% 76 0.29% 123 0.46% 26,548
Hartley 173 8.86% 1,730 88.63% 43 2.20% 3 0.15% 3 0.15% 1,952
Haskell 314 17.74% 1,403 79.27% 42 2.37% 6 0.34% 5 0.28% 1,770
Hays 33,224 46.04% 33,826 46.87% 3,630 5.03% 1,061 1.47% 423 0.59% 72,164
Hemphill 181 10.68% 1,462 86.25% 44 2.60% 2 0.12% 6 0.35% 1,695
Henderson 5,669 18.87% 23,650 78.72% 535 1.78% 102 0.34% 89 0.30% 30,045
Hidalgo 118,809 68.50% 48,642 28.05% 3,788 2.18% 1,856 1.07% 342 0.20% 173,437
Hill 2,547 19.64% 10,108 77.93% 256 1.97% 40 0.31% 19 0.15% 12,970
Hockley 1,260 17.23% 5,809 79.46% 199 2.72% 33 0.45% 10 0.14% 7,311
Hood 4,008 15.26% 21,382 81.42% 641 2.44% 113 0.43% 118 0.45% 26,262
Hopkins 2,510 18.54% 10,707 79.09% 220 1.63% 44 0.33% 57 0.42% 13,538
Houston 1,978 23.68% 6,205 74.28% 90 1.08% 29 0.35% 51 0.61% 8,353
Howard 1,770 20.29% 6,637 76.09% 232 2.66% 56 0.64% 28 0.32% 8,723
Hudspeth 324 37.20% 503 57.75% 38 4.36% 6 0.69% 0 0.00% 871
Hunt 6,396 20.27% 23,910 75.77% 862 2.73% 162 0.51% 224 0.71% 31,554
Hutchinson 854 10.47% 7,042 86.35% 210 2.58% 23 0.28% 26 0.32% 8,155
Irion 90 11.75% 660 86.16% 9 1.17% 1 0.13% 6 0.78% 766
Jack 314 9.37% 2,973 88.75% 42 1.25% 10 0.30% 11 0.33% 3,350
Jackson 904 17.05% 4,266 80.46% 78 1.47% 27 0.51% 27 0.51% 5,302
Jasper 2,590 19.30% 10,609 79.06% 156 1.16% 38 0.28% 26 0.19% 13,419
Jeff Davis 422 35.43% 695 58.35% 42 3.53% 17 1.43% 15 1.26% 1,191
Jefferson 42,443 48.44% 42,862 48.92% 1,714 1.96% 420 0.48% 179 0.20% 87,618
Jim Hogg 1,635 77.16% 430 20.29% 42 1.98% 12 0.57% 0 0.00% 2,119
Jim Wells 6,694 54.08% 5,420 43.78% 210 1.70% 40 0.32% 15 0.12% 12,379
Johnson 10,988 19.07% 44,382 77.04% 1,605 2.79% 324 0.56% 307 0.53% 57,606
Jones 936 15.70% 4,819 80.86% 162 2.72% 21 0.35% 22 0.37% 5,960
Karnes 1,145 27.27% 2,965 70.63% 70 1.67% 12 0.29% 6 0.14% 4,198
Kaufman 10,278 24.91% 29,587 71.70% 983 2.38% 197 0.48% 220 0.53% 41,265
Kendall 3,643 18.11% 15,700 78.03% 555 2.76% 87 0.43% 135 0.67% 20,120
Kenedy 99 53.23% 84 45.16% 3 1.61% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 186
Kent 59 13.59% 360 82.95% 14 3.23% 0 0.00% 1 0.23% 434
Kerr 4,681 20.09% 17,727 76.09% 657 2.82% 116 0.50% 116 0.50% 23,297
Kimble 206 10.55% 1,697 86.94% 37 1.90% 5 0.26% 7 0.36% 1,952
King 5 3.14% 149 93.71% 5 3.14% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 159
Kinney 458 32.03% 936 65.45% 25 1.75% 6 0.42% 5 0.35% 1,430
Kleberg 4,716 49.58% 4,367 45.91% 314 3.30% 92 0.97% 23 0.24% 9,512
Knox 247 18.07% 1,078 78.86% 28 2.05% 5 0.37% 9 0.66% 1,367
Lamar 3,583 19.25% 14,561 78.24% 343 1.84% 70 0.38% 54 0.29% 18,611
Lamb 771 19.30% 3,111 77.87% 85 2.13% 8 0.20% 20 0.50% 3,995
Lampasas 1,483 18.07% 6,385 77.82% 253 3.08% 47 0.57% 37 0.45% 8,205
LaSalle 1,129 54.83% 872 42.35% 44 2.14% 10 0.49% 4 0.19% 2,059
Lavaca 1,170 13.51% 7,347 84.83% 112 1.29% 12 0.14% 20 0.23% 8,661
Lee 1,372 20.99% 4,997 76.47% 126 1.93% 28 0.43% 12 0.18% 6,535
Leon 909 12.22% 6,391 85.91% 94 1.26% 13 0.17% 32 0.43% 7,439
Liberty 4,862 20.04% 18,892 77.85% 364 1.50% 85 0.35% 64 0.26% 24,267
Limestone 1,778 22.97% 5,796 74.89% 128 1.65% 27 0.35% 10 0.13% 7,739
Lipscomb 135 10.14% 1,159 87.01% 25 1.88% 3 0.23% 10 0.75% 1,332
Live Oak 742 17.25% 3,464 80.52% 65 1.51% 13 0.30% 18 0.42% 4,302
Llano 1,825 17.47% 8,299 79.44% 205 1.96% 65 0.62% 53 0.51% 10,447
Loving 4 6.15% 58 89.23% 1 1.54% 2 3.08% 0 0.00% 65
Lubbock 28,023 28.30% 65,651 66.31% 3,917 3.96% 633 0.64% 789 0.80% 99,013
Lynn 403 20.06% 1,546 76.95% 41 2.04% 7 0.35% 12 0.60% 2,009
Madison 881 20.54% 3,351 78.13% 45 1.05% 8 0.19% 4 0.09% 4,289
Marion 1,165 27.49% 2,983 70.39% 71 1.68% 13 0.31% 6 0.14% 4,238
Martin 266 15.10% 1,455 82.58% 31 1.76% 5 0.28% 5 0.28% 1,762
Mason 354 17.21% 1,656 80.51% 37 1.80% 7 0.34% 3 0.15% 2,057
Matagorda 3,500 28.70% 8,366 68.60% 239 1.96% 53 0.43% 38 0.31% 12,196
Maverick 10,397 76.52% 2,816 20.72% 266 1.96% 109 0.80% 0 0.00% 13,588
McCulloch 482 15.53% 2,552 82.24% 51 1.64% 9 0.29% 9 0.29% 3,103
McLennan 27,063 34.22% 48,260 61.03% 2,492 3.15% 473 0.60% 787 1.00% 79,075
McMullen 40 8.02% 454 90.98% 2 0.40% 1 0.20% 2 0.40% 499
Medina 4,634 26.87% 12,085 70.07% 403 2.34% 106 0.61% 18 0.10% 17,246
Menard 154 17.82% 682 78.94% 25 2.89% 1 0.12% 2 0.23% 864
Midland 10,025 20.37% 36,973 75.13% 1,667 3.39% 203 0.41% 344 0.70% 49,212
Milam 2,051 23.67% 6,364 73.45% 178 2.05% 49 0.57% 22 0.25% 8,664
Mills 243 10.82% 1,951 86.90% 41 1.83% 6 0.27% 4 0.18% 2,245
Mitchell 354 16.12% 1,780 81.06% 50 2.28% 7 0.32% 5 0.23% 2,196
Montague 885 10.29% 7,526 87.47% 170 1.98% 23 0.27% 0 0.00% 8,604
Montgomery 45,835 22.40% 150,314 73.46% 6,142 3.00% 1,018 0.50% 1,323 0.65% 204,632
Moore 1,098 20.78% 3,977 75.26% 166 3.14% 26 0.49% 17 0.32% 5,284
Morris 1,425 28.65% 3,446 69.29% 77 1.55% 19 0.38% 6 0.12% 4,973
Motley 40 6.50% 566 92.03% 9 1.46% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 615
Nacogdoches 6,846 30.26% 14,771 65.29% 702 3.10% 159 0.70% 144 0.64% 22,622
Navarro 4,002 24.35% 11,994 72.99% 343 2.09% 58 0.35% 36 0.22% 16,433
Newton 1,156 20.89% 4,288 77.48% 66 1.19% 13 0.23% 11 0.20% 5,534
Nolan 1,029 21.19% 3,552 73.13% 142 2.92% 22 0.45% 112 2.31% 4,857
Nueces 49,198 47.12% 50,766 48.62% 3,324 3.18% 847 0.81% 270 0.26% 104,405
Ochiltree 274 9.13% 2,628 87.54% 75 2.50% 5 0.17% 20 0.67% 3,002
Oldham 78 8.23% 850 89.66% 14 1.48% 3 0.32% 3 0.32% 948
Orange 5,735 17.92% 25,513 79.73% 550 1.72% 115 0.36% 87 0.27% 32,000
Palo Pinto 1,708 16.63% 8,284 80.66% 210 2.04% 48 0.47% 20 0.19% 10,270
Panola 1,835 17.62% 8,445 81.08% 109 1.05% 24 0.23% 3 0.03% 10,416
Parker 8,344 14.69% 46,473 81.79% 1,439 2.53% 215 0.38% 346 0.61% 56,817
Parmer 485 19.67% 1,915 77.66% 55 2.23% 4 0.16% 7 0.28% 2,466
Pecos 1,554 37.13% 2,468 58.97% 127 3.03% 26 0.62% 10 0.24% 4,185
Polk 4,187 21.09% 15,176 76.45% 367 1.85% 86 0.43% 36 0.18% 19,852
Potter 7,657 26.73% 19,630 68.51% 1,028 3.59% 190 0.66% 146 0.51% 28,651
Presidio 1,458 66.03% 652 29.53% 64 2.90% 29 1.31% 5 0.23% 2,208
Rains 628 13.36% 3,968 84.41% 80 1.70% 15 0.32% 10 0.21% 4,701
Randall 8,367 15.41% 43,462 80.03% 1,872 3.45% 228 0.42% 376 0.69% 54,305
Reagan 167 18.47% 709 78.43% 22 2.43% 2 0.22% 4 0.44% 904
Real 262 15.59% 1,382 82.21% 28 1.67% 6 0.36% 3 0.18% 1,681
Red River 1,149 22.26% 3,926 76.07% 67 1.30% 8 0.16% 11 0.21% 5,161
Reeves 1,659 52.10% 1,417 44.50% 98 3.08% 10 0.31% 0 0.00% 3,184
Refugio 1,034 35.07% 1,830 62.08% 71 2.41% 10 0.34% 3 0.10% 2,948
Roberts 20 3.61% 524 94.58% 6 1.08% 0 0.00% 4 0.72% 554
Robertson 2,203 31.31% 4,668 66.35% 125 1.78% 17 0.24% 22 0.31% 7,035
Rockwall 9,655 24.17% 28,451 71.22% 1,305 3.27% 207 0.52% 330 0.83% 39,948
Runnels 453 11.98% 3,250 85.93% 60 1.59% 13 0.34% 6 0.16% 3,782
Rusk 3,935 20.72% 14,675 77.26% 333 1.75% 51 0.27% 0 0.00% 18,994
Sabine 614 13.20% 3,998 85.96% 27 0.58% 9 0.19% 3 0.06% 4,651
San Augustine 910 25.50% 2,622 73.47% 30 0.84% 6 0.17% 1 0.03% 3,569
San Jacinto 2,038 19.70% 8,059 77.92% 170 1.64% 52 0.50% 24 0.23% 10,343
San Patricio 7,871 36.35% 13,030 60.17% 573 2.65% 113 0.52% 69 0.32% 21,656
San Saba 293 12.43% 2,025 85.91% 32 1.36% 4 0.17% 3 0.13% 2,357
Schleicher 208 19.64% 821 77.53% 24 2.27% 3 0.28% 3 0.28% 1,059
Scurry 733 13.86% 4,410 83.38% 103 1.95% 22 0.42% 21 0.40% 5,289
Shackelford 103 6.85% 1,378 91.62% 21 1.40% 0 0.00% 2 0.13% 1,504
Shelby 1,758 19.35% 7,179 79.01% 123 1.35% 21 0.23% 5 0.06% 9,086
Sherman 96 10.27% 807 86.31% 27 2.89% 3 0.32% 2 0.21% 935
Smith 22,300 26.31% 58,930 69.52% 2,076 2.45% 341 0.40% 1,121 1.32% 84,768
Somervell 541 13.88% 3,206 82.27% 107 2.75% 23 0.59% 20 0.51% 3,897
Starr 9,289 79.12% 2,224 18.94% 159 1.35% 68 0.58% 0 0.00% 11,740
Stephens 348 10.05% 3,034 87.66% 65 1.88% 7 0.20% 7 0.20% 3,461
Sterling 70 11.06% 549 86.73% 9 1.42% 5 0.79% 0 0.00% 633
Stonewall 135 19.26% 555 79.17% 10 1.43% 1 0.14% 0 0.00% 701
Sutton 313 22.10% 1,075 75.92% 22 1.55% 5 0.35% 1 0.07% 1,416
Swisher 462 20.96% 1,671 75.82% 51 2.31% 6 0.27% 14 0.64% 2,204
Tarrant 288,392 43.14% 345,921 51.74% 23,775 3.56% 5,413 0.81% 5,013 0.75% 668,514
Taylor 10,085 22.04% 33,250 72.66% 1,763 3.85% 289 0.63% 372 0.81% 45,759
Terrell 140 31.96% 288 65.75% 10 2.28% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 438
Terry 753 22.44% 2,459 73.29% 112 3.34% 21 0.63% 10 0.30% 3,355
Throckmorton 84 10.40% 715 88.49% 7 0.87% 2 0.25% 0 0.00% 808
Titus 2,597 27.57% 6,511 69.13% 191 2.03% 44 0.47% 76 0.81% 9,419
Tom Green 9,173 23.84% 27,494 71.45% 1,402 3.64% 218 0.57% 192 0.50% 38,479
Travis 308,260 65.77% 127,209 27.14% 21,958 4.68% 7,462 1.59% 3,831 0.82% 468,720
Trinity 1,154 19.28% 4,737 79.15% 80 1.34% 11 0.18% 3 0.05% 5,985
Tyler 1,248 15.57% 6,624 82.63% 103 1.28% 22 0.27% 19 0.24% 8,016
Upshur 2,380 14.86% 13,209 82.49% 283 1.77% 59 0.37% 82 0.51% 16,013
Upton 286 21.23% 1,007 74.76% 49 3.64% 3 0.22% 2 0.15% 1,347
Uvalde 3,867 43.14% 4,835 53.94% 191 2.13% 54 0.60% 17 0.19% 8,964
Val Verde 6,964 51.14% 5,890 43.25% 573 4.21% 131 0.96% 59 0.43% 13,617
Van Zandt 2,799 12.79% 18,473 84.39% 385 1.76% 77 0.35% 156 0.71% 21,890
Victoria 8,866 28.49% 21,275 68.36% 782 2.51% 156 0.50% 44 0.14% 31,123
Walker 6,091 30.77% 12,884 65.08% 560 2.83% 161 0.81% 100 0.51% 19,796
Waller 5,748 34.25% 10,531 62.74% 342 2.04% 104 0.62% 59 0.35% 16,784
Ward 783 22.73% 2,547 73.93% 82 2.38% 10 0.29% 23 0.67% 3,445
Washington 3,382 22.81% 10,945 73.81% 352 2.37% 70 0.47% 79 0.53% 14,828
Webb 42,307 74.35% 12,947 22.75% 1,033 1.82% 591 1.04% 27 0.05% 56,905
Wharton 4,238 28.77% 10,149 68.89% 269 1.83% 51 0.35% 25 0.17% 14,732
Wheeler 194 8.41% 2,087 90.50% 21 0.91% 4 0.17% 0 0.00% 2,306
Wichita 8,770 23.01% 27,631 72.49% 1,308 3.43% 256 0.67% 154 0.40% 38,119
Wilbarger 809 19.71% 3,166 77.13% 115 2.80% 13 0.32% 2 0.05% 4,105
Willacy 3,422 67.16% 1,547 30.36% 95 1.86% 31 0.61% 0 0.00% 5,095
Williamson 84,468 41.59% 104,175 51.30% 10,229 5.04% 2,047 1.01% 2,162 1.06% 203,081
Wilson 4,790 24.65% 13,998 72.04% 392 2.02% 82 0.42% 170 0.87% 19,432
Winkler 420 22.39% 1,403 74.79% 49 2.61% 1 0.05% 3 0.16% 1,876
Wise 3,412 13.77% 20,670 83.43% 505 2.04% 91 0.37% 98 0.40% 24,776
Wood 2,630 14.04% 15,700 83.84% 280 1.50% 64 0.34% 53 0.28% 18,727
Yoakum 426 18.50% 1,797 78.03% 73 3.17% 3 0.13% 4 0.17% 2,303
Young 876 11.37% 6,601 85.65% 180 2.34% 19 0.25% 31 0.40% 7,707
Zapata 2,063 65.66% 1,029 32.75% 34 1.08% 16 0.51% 0 0.00% 3,142
Zavala 2,636 77.62% 694 20.44% 50 1.47% 16 0.47% 0 0.00% 3,396
Total 3,877,868 43.24% 4,685,047 52.23% 283,492 3.16% 71,558 0.80% 51,261 0.57% 8,969,226

County Flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[edit]

By congressional district[edit]

Trump won 22 of 36 congressional districts, while Clinton won 14, including three held by Republicans [35]

Analysis[edit]

While he continued the Republican 10-cycle winning streak in Texas,[36] Trump’s winning margin was down from Mitt Romney’s 16% in 2012 to 8.99%, a 7.01% drop, making 2016 the closest Democrats had come to winning Texas since 1996 (though the Democrats also received a smaller percentage of the vote in Texas in this election than in the 2008 presidential election). The surge in Democratic votes can partly be attributed to a growing population of Hispanics/Latinos, Trump’s relatively weak performance with college-educated white voters, and the growth of cities and their respective suburbs in the Texas Triangle region, which are heavily populated with both college-educated voters and minorities and thus swung more Democratic compared to 2012.[37] These were Clinton’s main sources of votes. She swept the Rio Grande region counties, such as El Paso, Webb, Hidalgo and Cameron as they have sizable Hispanic populations. Clinton scored a 38-point sweep in Travis County, home to the state capital and heavily liberal city of Austin, the best Democratic performance in the county since 1964. She became the first Democrat to break 60% of the vote in Dallas County since 1944. Furthermore, she outperformed Obama in the minority-heavy counties of Bexar (San Antonio) and Harris County (Houston), shifting his slim victories into double-digit leads.[38] In fact, the Presidential vote in Texas’ 7th Congressional District, which includes Houston’s inner-west suburbs, had the biggest change in margin towards Clinton compared to Obama’s 2012 performance outside of Utah, shifting 23 points left.[39] Clinton also won suburban Fort Bend County for the first time since Texas native Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, which was attributed to the county’s large immigrant population and negative perception of Trump by female Republican voters.[40] While Clinton didn’t win suburban counties such as Denton County, Williamson County, Collin County, or Hays County, her margin of defeat was much narrower than other Democratic presidential nominees. Trump on the other hand narrowly flipped Jefferson County in East Texas, becoming the first Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972 to win the county.[41] Places that had large numbers of young voters in the state were a stronghold for Clinton as well.[42] Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick suggested that Trump’s relatively small margin of victory could have been largely due to many moderate Republican voters who had supported Romney in 2012 staying home. In an interview conducted the morning after the election, Patrick said in reference to these voters, “Had they turned out, he would’ve been in the low teens”.[43]

In total, Clinton beat Trump in 27 counties by a total of 883,819 votes, and had the best percentage performance than any other Democrat running statewide. Conversely, Trump, who won 227 of the state’s 254 counties, got the smallest percentage of the vote of all Republicans running in the state.[44]

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ “Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)”.
  2. ^ “Vote Swing – 2016 Presidential General Election Data – National”. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  3. ^ “Texas Democratic Delegation 2016”. www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
  4. ^ “Race Summary Report: 2016 Democratic Party Primary Election”. Texas Secretary of State. March 1, 2016. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  5. ^ “Inside the Beltway: Donald Trump won’t participate in Megyn Kelly’s Fox News candidate forum”. The Washington Times.
  6. ^ SPRUNT, BARBARA (February 25, 2016). “On The Clock: Trump Dominated Debate In Speaking Time”. NPR. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
  7. ^ “Election 2016 – 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination”. RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  8. ^ “Debate fallout: GOP suspends debate partnership with NBC”. Washington Examiner. October 30, 2015. Retrieved October 30, 2015.
  9. ^ “RNC CANCELS ONLY DEBATE TO AIR ON SPANISH-LANGUAGE TV”. Newsweek.com. October 30, 2015. Retrieved January 14, 2016.
  10. ^ “NBC replaced by CNN for GOP’s Super Tuesday debate”. CNN Money. January 18, 2016. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  11. ^ “National Review Kicked Out of GOP Debate After Anti-Trump Stand”. Wall Street Journal. January 22, 2016.
  12. ^ Watkins, Eli (February 19, 2016). “CNN’s Wolf Blitzer will moderate Republican debate in Houston”. CNN. Retrieved February 22, 2016.
  13. ^ “Texas Republican Delegation 2016”. www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 23, 2017.
  14. ^ “Race Summary Report: 2016 Republican Party Primary Election”. Texas Secretary of State. March 1, 2016. Retrieved July 14, 2016.
  15. ^ “Time to Vote Green- March 8”. Green Party of Texas. August 21, 2015. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  16. ^ “2016 County Nominating Conventions”. Green Party of Texas. December 4, 2015. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  17. ^ “2016 District Nominating Conventions”. Green Party of Texas. December 4, 2015. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
  18. ^ “2016 State Nominating Convention”. Green Party of Texas. August 21, 2015. Retrieved March 12, 2015.
  19. ^ “Stein wins majority of Texas convention delegates”. Retrieved April 11, 2016.
  20. ^ “RealClearPolitics – Election 2016 – Texas: Trump vs. Clinton”.
  21. ^ “Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours”. Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  22. ^ “Road to 270: CNN’s general election map – CNNPolitics.com”. Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  23. ^ “Presidential Ratings”. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  24. ^ “Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball » 2016 President”. Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  25. ^ Todd, Chuck. “NBC’s Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead”. NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  26. ^ “ElectoralVote”. ElectoralVote. December 31, 2000. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  27. ^ “2016 Election Maps – Battle for White House”. RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  28. ^ “Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump’s favor, as Clinton holds edge”. Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  29. ^ “Electoral Map 2016: Forecast Who Will Win-Clinton or Trump”. Abcnews.go.com. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  30. ^ “Texas hits record high for early voting turnout”. October 27, 2020.
  31. ^ “Race Summary Report, 2016 General Election”. Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 1, 2016.
  32. ^ Lau, Ryan (February 3, 2018). “Ron Paul Attacks Libertarian Leadership in Response to Controversy”. 71Republic. Archived from the original on February 4, 2018. Retrieved February 3, 2018. I paid my lifetime membership, in 1987, with a gold coin, to make a point.
  33. ^ “Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)”. www.sos.state.tx.us. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
  34. ^ “2016 General Election Results”. Retrieved December 23, 2016.
  35. ^ “Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index”. The Cook Political Report.
  36. ^ “Texas – 270toWin”.
  37. ^ Rogers, Mary Beth (January 31, 2016). “Turning Texas blue?: 3 trends could undo the 20 years of Republican rule Texas has endured since the days of Ann Richards”. Salon. Retrieved March 10, 2017.
  38. ^ Tribune, The Texas (November 11, 2016). “There’s no shading it, Harris County went undeniably blue”. The Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 9, 2017.
  39. ^ “Daily Kos Elections 2012, 2016 & 2020 presidential election results for congressional districts used in 2020 elections”. Google Docs. Retrieved January 27, 2023.
  40. ^ Quinn, Kevin (November 9, 2016). “Political shift in Ft. Bend leans toward Clinton”. KTRK-TV.
  41. ^ “Texas County Elects Black Woman Sheriff and Votes for Trump”.
  42. ^ “Trump across Texas, visualized”. Houston Chronicle. Retrieved March 9, 2017.
  43. ^ Svitek, Patrick (November 9, 2016). “Donald Trump wins Texas, leads Hillary Clinton by 9 points”. The Texas Tribune. Retrieved December 25, 2018.
  44. ^ Tribune, The Texas (November 11, 2016). “Analysis: The blue dots in Texas’ red political sea”. The Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 9, 2017.

Further reading[edit]

External links[edit]


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