[{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BlogPosting","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/opinion-polling-for-the-2007-french-legislative-election\/#BlogPosting","mainEntityOfPage":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/opinion-polling-for-the-2007-french-legislative-election\/","headline":"Opinion polling for the 2007 French legislative election","name":"Opinion polling for the 2007 French legislative election","description":"before-content-x4 From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia after-content-x4 This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections,","datePublished":"2014-01-24","dateModified":"2014-01-24","author":{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/author\/lordneo\/#Person","name":"lordneo","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/author\/lordneo\/","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","height":96,"width":96}},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","width":600,"height":60}},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/1\/1c\/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_legislative_election%2C_2007.png","url":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/1\/1c\/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_legislative_election%2C_2007.png","height":"581","width":"1000"},"url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/opinion-polling-for-the-2007-french-legislative-election\/","about":["Wiki"],"wordCount":8639,"articleBody":"     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});before-content-x4From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia       (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});after-content-x4This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2007.Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.       (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});after-content-x4Table of ContentsGraphical summary[edit]First round[edit]Second round seat projections[edit]By second round configuration[edit]PS\/PCF\/LV\u2013UMP\/NC[edit]PS\/PCF\/LV\u2013MoDem\u2013UMP[edit]PCF\u2013UMP\/NC[edit]By constituency[edit]First round[edit]Ard\u00e8che’s 2nd[edit]Dr\u00f4me’s 2nd[edit]Eure’s 3rd[edit]Gironde’s 2nd[edit]Is\u00e8re’s 1st[edit]Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Atlantiques’s 2nd[edit]Sa\u00f4ne-et-Loire’s 6th[edit]Sarthe’s 4th[edit]Paris’s 8th[edit]Vaucluse’s 4th[edit]Second round[edit]Ard\u00e8che’s 2nd[edit]Dr\u00f4me’s 2nd[edit]Eure’s 3rd[edit]Gironde’s 2nd[edit]Is\u00e8re’s 1st[edit]Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Atlantiques’s 2nd[edit]Sa\u00f4ne-et-Loire’s 6th[edit]Paris’s 8th[edit]Vaucluse’s 4th[edit]See also[edit]References[edit]External links[edit]Graphical summary[edit]The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the five major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).       (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});after-content-x4First round[edit]During the 2007 presidential election, Ipsos launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a “continuous electoral barometer”,[1] which it continued to carry out for the legislative elections in June.Other far-left parties received 0.32% of the vote in the first round in 2002; this total is included in the total for miscellaneous candidates, which would otherwise be 0.84%. Results for the Citizen and Republican Movement are compared with those of the Republican Pole in 2002, and Liberal Democracy and Rally for France are included in the miscellaneous right total for that year, which would otherwise be 3.89%; the two parties received 0.42% and 0.36% of the vote, respectively.Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeAbs.LOLCRPCFMRCPSPRGDVGLVECOMoDemNCUMPDVDMPFFNMNRCPNTEXDREGDIV2007 election10 Jun 2007\u201339.58%3.41% (EXG)4.29%(DVG)24.73%1.32%1.97%3.25%0.80%7.61%2.37%39.54%2.47%1.20%4.29%(EXD)0.82%0.39%0.51%1.03%Ipsos8 Jun 2007962\u20132.5%3.5%29.5%2.5%\u201310%41.5%1%1.5%5.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%CSA6\u20137 Jun 2007822\u20131%3%4%28%\u20134%\u20137%41%\u20131%6%\u20131%\u2013\u20134%Ipsos6\u20137 Jun 20071,207\u20133%4%28%3%\u20139%43%1%1.5%5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%Ipsos5\u20136 Jun 20071,207\u20133%4%29%3%\u20139%41.5%1%2%5.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%TNS Sofres5\u20136 Jun 20071,000\u20133.5%3%29.5%3%\u201310%41.5%2%1%4%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%BVA4\u20135 Jun 2007820\u20133%4%28%3%\u20138%42%4%\u20135%\u2013\u2013\u20133%Ipsos4\u20135 Jun 20071,206\u20133%3.5%29%3%\u20139%41.5%1%1.5%6%0.5%1%\u2013\u20131%Ipsos1\u20134 Jun 20071,558\u20132.5%3.5%29%3.5%\u20139%42.5%1%1%5.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%Ipsos31 May\u20132 Jun 20071,357\u20132.5%3.5%29%4%\u20138%43%1%1.5%5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%Ifop31 May\u20131 Jun 2007929\u20134%4.5%27%\u20133%\u20139%41%\u20131.5%6%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u20134%Ipsos30 May\u20131 Jun 20071,224\u20132.5%3%29.5%4%\u20137.5%43.5%1.5%1.5%4.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%CSA30\u201331 May 2007852\u20132%2%4%26%\u20135%\u20138%42%\u20131%5%\u20131%\u2013\u20134%Ipsos29\u201331 May 20071,212\u20132.5%3%29.5%3.5%\u20137%43.5%1.5%2%5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%Ipsos28\u201330 May 20071,215\u20133%3.5%29.5%3%\u20137.5%43.5%1.5%2%4.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%TNS Sofres28\u201329 May 20071,000\u20134%4%27%3%\u201310%42%2%1.5%4%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131.5%Ipsos26\u201329 May 20071,321\u20133%3.5%29.5%3%\u20138.5%43%1%2%4.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%Ipsos25\u201328 May 20071,356\u20133%4%28.5%\u20133%\u20139%43.5%1%2%4%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%Ipsos24\u201326 May 20071,356\u20133%4%28%\u20132.5%\u20139.5%\u201343%1%2.5%4.5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%Ifop24\u201325 May 2007931\u20132%3.5%27.5%\u20134%\u201312%\u201341%\u20132%6%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u20132%Ipsos23\u201325 May 20071,251\u20133%4%27.5%2.5%\u20139.5%\u201343.5%1%2%5%0.5%0.5%\u2013\u20131%CSA23\u201324 May 2007863\u20132%3%3%26%\u20135%\u201312%\u201337%\u20132%8%\u20131%\u2013\u20131%Ipsos22\u201324 May 20071,213\u20134%4%28%3%\u20139%\u201342.5%2.5%\u20135%0.5%1.5%\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos21\u201323 May 20071,212\u20134%4%29%3.5%\u20138.5%\u201341.5%2%\u20135.5%0.5%1.5%\u2013\u2013\u2013BVA21\u201322 May 2007865\u20134.5%3%30%\u20133.5%\u20139%\u201342%3%\u20135%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos19\u201322 May 20071,773\u20134%3.5%28.5%\u20133.5%\u20139%\u201341.5%2.5%\u20135.5%0.5%1.5%\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos19\u201321 May 20071,372\u20134%3.5%29.5%\u20134%\u20138.5%\u201341%2.5%\u20135.5%0.5%1%\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos19 May 2007968\u20134%3%29%\u20134%\u20139%\u201341%2.5%\u20136%0.5%1%\u2013\u2013\u2013TNS Sofres18\u201319 May 20071,000\u20133.5%3.5%28%\u20134%\u201315%\u201340%\u20131.5%3.5%\u20131%\u2013\u2013\u2013CSA15\u201316 May 2007890\u20131%2%3%27%\u20133%\u201316%\u201338%\u20131%7%\u20131%\u2013\u20131%BVA14\u201315 May 2007840\u20133%3%30%\u20134%\u201312%\u201336%4%\u20138%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos11\u201312 May 2007948\u20133%3.5%28%\u20134%\u201310%\u201340%\u20132%8%0.5%1%\u2013\u2013\u2013Ifop10\u201311 May 2007885\u20133%4%28%\u20134%\u201314%\u201337%\u20132%7%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u20131%BVA7 May 2007806\u20135%3%30%\u20136%\u20139%\u201335%4%\u20138%\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013\u2013CSA6 May 20071,030\u20132%1%2%30%\u20131%\u201315%\u201335%\u20132%8%\u20132%\u2013\u20132%Ifop3\u20134 May 2007883\u20134%4%29%\u20135%\u201312%\u201334%\u20132%7%\u20131%\u2013\u20132%TNS Sofres23 Apr 20071,000\u20134%3%32%\u20134%\u201312%\u201332%\u20132%9%\u20132%\u2013\u2013\u2013BVA8\u20139 Jan 2007859\u20134%5%31%2%5%1%5%\u201331%3%\u201310%3%\u2013\u2013\u20132002 election9 Jun 2002\u201335.58%1.18%1.24%4.91%1.19%23.78%1.51%1.38%4.44%1.15%4.79%\u201333.37%4.68%0.79%11.12%1.08%1.64%0.25%0.36%1.16%Second round seat projections[edit]Projections marked with an asterisk (*) are for 555 deputies representing metropolitan France. The final three Ipsos projections were constructed using interviews in 184 constituencies with left-right duels where the outcome appeared uncertain, while the two preceding projections were based on 197 constituencies.Seats for Liberal Democracy and Rally for France are included in the miscellaneous right total for 2002, which would otherwise be 9; the parties each won 2 seats.Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeAbs.PCFMRCPSPRGDVGLVMoDemNCUMPDVDMPFREGDIV2007 election17 Jun 2007\u201340.02%15(DVG)18671543223139111Ipsos14\u201315 Jun 20071,209\u201311\u201316140\u20131752\u201342\u2013320\u201323358\u20133952\u2013\u2013CSA*13\u201314 Jun 2007939\u201310\u20131595\u2013130\u20131\u201331\u20133420\u2013463\u20131\u20133\u2013\u2013Ipsos13\u201314 Jun 20071,009\u201310\u201315125\u20131562\u201332\u2013320\u201323379\u20134112\u2013\u2013Ipsos12\u201313 Jun 2007972\u201310\u201315121\u20131491\u201332\u2013320\u201323386\u20134152\u2013\u2013TNS Sofres*12\u201313 Jun 20071,000\u201310\u201315125\u2013155\u20132\u201341\u2013221\u201323380\u2013410\u20132\u20132BVA*12 Jun 2007806\u201310\u201316105\u20131313\u201341\u20133394\u2013434\u2013\u2013\u2013Ipsos11\u201312 Jun 20071,373\u20138\u201315115\u20131461\u201332\u2013320\u201323388\u20134222\u2013\u2013Ipsos11 Jun 2007793\u20137\u201314117\u20131571\u201331\u2013320\u201323387\u20134282\u2013\u2013Ipsos*8 Jun 2007962\u20135\u201310114\u20131620\u201322\u2013621\u201324364\u2013404\u2013\u2013\u2013CSA*6\u20137 Jun 2007822\u20134\u201312110\u2013154\u20131\u201331\u20136390\u2013420\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013TNS Sofres*5\u20136 Jun 20071,000\u20134\u201310115\u2013155\u20131\u201332\u20136390\u2013430\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013BVA*4\u20135 Jun 2007820\u20136\u201314120\u20131731\u201331\u20134366\u20134190\u20133\u2013\u2013Ipsos*4\u20135 Jun 20071,206\u20135\u201310115\u20131580\u201321\u2013621\u201324361\u2013406\u2013\u2013\u2013Ifop*31 May\u20131 Jun 2007929\u20139\u20131580\u2013120\u20130\u201320\u20134\u2013420\u2013460\u20132\u2013\u2013CSA*30\u201331 May 2007852\u20134\u201312111\u2013151\u20131\u201331\u20136402\u2013425\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013TNS Sofres*28\u201329 May 20071,000\u20134\u201310101\u2013142\u20131\u201332\u20136410\u2013430\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013Ipsos*25\u201328 May 20071,356\u20136\u201312102\u20131420\u201321\u2013621\u201325380\u2013417\u2013\u2013\u2013Ifop*24\u201325 May 2007931\u20136\u20131090\u2013130\u20130\u201320\u20136\u2013410\u2013450\u20132\u2013\u2013CSA*23\u201324 May 2007863\u20136\u201314132\u2013182\u20131\u201341\u20136\u2013353\u2013407\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013BVA*21\u201322 May 2007865\u20134\u201310121\u20131590\u201330\u20133\u2013379\u2013431\u2013\u2013\u2013TNS Sofres*18\u201319 May 20071,000\u20132\u20139137\u2013153\u20131\u201322\u201310\u2013365\u2013415\u20132\u20133\u2013\u2013BVA*14\u201315 May 2007840\u201314\u201321151\u20132001\u201320\u20134\u2013317\u20133814\u201311\u2013\u2013\u2013Ifop*10\u201311 May 2007885\u20139\u201313149\u2013190\u20130\u201340\u20138\u2013336\u2013390\u20130\u20132\u2013\u2013BVA*7 May 2007806\u201314\u201318158\u20132000\u201368\u201313\u2013288\u20133444\u20137\u2013\u2013\u20132002 election16 Jun 2002\u201339.69%21014076329\u201335513111By second round configuration[edit]Configurations tested before the first were collected among a national sample, except for the Ipsos poll conducted on 13 June 2007 which was conducted specifically in 17 constituencies where a victory for a French Communist Party candidate was considered possible.PS\/PCF\/LV\u2013UMP\/NC[edit]Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizePS\/PCF\/LVUMP\/NCIpsos8 Jun 200796244%56%Ipsos6\u20137 Jun 20071,20743%57%Ipsos5\u20136 Jun 20071,20744%56%Ipsos4\u20135 Jun 20071,20644%56%Ipsos1\u20134 Jun 20071,55843%57%Ipsos31 May\u20132 Jun 20071,35743.5%56.5%Ipsos30 May\u20131 Jun 20071,22444%56%Ipsos29\u201331 May 20071,21244.5%55.5%Ipsos28\u201330 May 20071,21544%56%Ipsos26\u201329 May 20071,32143.5%56.5%Ipsos25\u201328 May 20071,35642.5%57.5%Ipsos24\u201326 May 20071,35642.5%57.5%Ipsos23\u201325 May 20071,25142%58%Ipsos22\u201324 May 20071,21342%58%Ipsos21\u201323 May 20071,21243%57%Ipsos19\u201322 May 20071,77343%57%Ipsos19\u201321 May 20071,37244%56%Ipsos19 May 200796843%57%Ipsos11\u201312 May 200794844%56%PS\/PCF\/LV\u2013MoDem\u2013UMP[edit]Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizePS\/PCF\/LVMoDemUMPIpsos21\u201323 May 20071,21239%9%52%Ipsos19\u201322 May 20071,77338%10%52%Ipsos19\u201321 May 20071,37239%10%51%Ipsos19 May 200796838%10%52%Ipsos11\u201312 May 200794838%11%51%PCF\u2013UMP\/NC[edit]Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizePCFUMP\/NCIpsos13 Jun 200760354%46%By constituency[edit]First round[edit]Ard\u00e8che’s 2nd[edit]Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeAbs.Jean FantiniPCFOlivier DussoptPSJean-Claude MourguesLVDominique ChambonMoDemG\u00e9rard WeberUMPJacques DubayDVDClaude RichardFNOthers2007 election10 Jun 2007\u201337.71%3.51%26.10%3.42%8.82%29.37%16.87%3.72%8.20%BVA1\u20135 Jun 2007607\u20132.5%27%4%14%26%14%6%6.5%Dr\u00f4me’s 2nd[edit]Eure’s 3rd[edit]Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeAbs.Francis CourelPS diss.Nathalie ZanonPSPhilippe RaviartMoDemHerv\u00e9 MorinNCMarc Le TanneurFNOthers2007 election10 Jun 2007\u201336.78%16.07%10.32%5.40%50.05%3.97%14.19%Ifop4\u20135 Jun 2007607\u201317%10%5%49%4%15%Gironde’s 2nd[edit]Is\u00e8re’s 1st[edit]Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Atlantiques’s 2nd[edit]Jean-Pierre Marin\u00e9 withdrew and did not contest the second round despite being eligible to after the decision of the party to allow Bayrou to carry the constituency.[2]Sa\u00f4ne-et-Loire’s 6th[edit]Sarthe’s 4th[edit]Paris’s 8th[edit]Vaucluse’s 4th[edit]Second round[edit]Ard\u00e8che’s 2nd[edit]Dr\u00f4me’s 2nd[edit]Eure’s 3rd[edit]Herv\u00e9 Morin was directly elected in the first round on 10 June 2007.Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeAbs.Francis CourelPS diss.Herv\u00e9 MorinNCIfop4\u20135 Jun 2007607\u201341%59%Gironde’s 2nd[edit]Is\u00e8re’s 1st[edit]Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es-Atlantiques’s 2nd[edit]Sa\u00f4ne-et-Loire’s 6th[edit]Paris’s 8th[edit]Vaucluse’s 4th[edit]See also[edit]References[edit]External links[edit]     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});after-content-x4"},{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/#breadcrumbitem","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki40\/opinion-polling-for-the-2007-french-legislative-election\/#breadcrumbitem","name":"Opinion polling for the 2007 French legislative election"}}]}]