2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election – Wikipedia

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Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Tennessee

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Turnout 38.61% Decrease[1] 15.85 pp
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election results map by county.svg

County results
Lee:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Martin:      50–60%      60–70%

The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, improving on his performance from 2018. The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Democrat Jason Martin winning their respective parties’ nominations.[2][3] Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.

During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson Counties.

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Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it has been in nearly a decade, with only 38.61% of Tennessee’s registered voters turning out. The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. This turnout was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] Tennessee’s neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well, with only 38.5% of Alabamians turning out to vote this midterm cycle.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

  • Curtis Carney, business owner[8][7]
  • Tyler Hagerman[7]
  • Patricia Morrison[7]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Bill Lee

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Withdrew[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

J. B. Smiley Jr.

U.S. Representatives
Local officials

Results[edit]

Results by county:

  •   30–40%

  •   40–50%

  •   50–60%

  •   60–70%

  •   30–40%

  •   40–50%

  •   50–60%

  •   60–70%

Independents[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Disqualified[edit]

  • Lemichael DaShaun-Wilson[25]
  • Hosie Holomon III[25]
  • Wendell Jackson[25]
  • Jake Johns[25]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Bill Lee (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error 		Bill
Lee (R) 		Jason
Martin (D) 		Other Undecided
RABA Research July 21–31, 2022 549 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 28% 6% 14%

Hypothetical polling

Bill Lee vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a]		 Margin
of error 		Bill
Lee (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Vanderbilt University April 26 – May 14, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 39% 12%

Results[edit]

2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg

By county[40][edit]

County Bill Lee
Republican		 Jason Martin
Democratic		 Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % #
Anderson 65.82% 14,003 32.11% 6,832 2.07% 440 21,275
Bedford 79.31% 8,401 18.28% 1,936 2.41% 256 10,593
Benton 79.19% 3,247 18.44% 756 2.37% 97 4,100
Bledsoe 86.11% 2,933 12.27% 418 1.62% 55 3,406
Blount 74.43% 29,470 23.53% 9,316 2.04% 809 39,595
Bradley 81.99% 20,655 16.26% 4,096 1.75% 442 25,193
Campbell 81.97% 6,118 15.86% 1,197 2.17% 164 7,549
Cannon 80.74% 3,082 17.50% 668 1.76% 67 3,817
Carroll 80.23% 5,733 17.74% 1,268 2.03% 145 7,146
Carter 80.12% 11,602 17.78% 2,575 2.10% 303 14,480
Cheatham 71.27% 8,309 26.92% 3,138 1.81% 211 11,388
Chester 83.54% 3,756 13.83% 622 2.62% 118 4,496
Claiborne 84.01% 5,652 14.18% 954 1.81% 122 6,728
Clay 80.08% 1,451 16.94% 307 2.98% 54 1,812
Cocke 81.21% 6,618 15.95% 1,300 2.83% 231 8,149
Coffee 77.16% 10,529 20.60% 2,811 2.24% 306 13,646
Crockett 82.30% 2,734 16.23% 539 1.48% 49 3,322
Cumberland 82.40% 17,864 1617 3,505 1.43% 311 21,680
Davidson 34.24% 60,900 63.38% 112,708 2.38% 4,229 177,837
Decatur 80.65% 2,713 17.72% 596 1.63% 55 3,364
DeKalb
Dickson
Dyer 80.61% 6,791 16.81% 1,416 2.58% 217 8,424
Fayette
Fentress
Franklin
Gibson 76.61% 9,640 21.21% 2,669 2.18% 274 12,583
Giles
Grainger
Greene
Grundy
Hamblen
Hamilton 60.02% 60,647 38.45% 38,862 1.53% 1,542 101,051
Hancock 84.61% 1,110 12.58% 165 2.81% 37 1,312
Hardeman
Hardin
Hawkins
Haywood 51.14% 2,011 47.31% 1,860 1.55% 61 3,932
Henderson
Henry 79.59% 6,674 19.13% 1,604 1.28% 107 8,385
Hickman
Houston
Humphreys
Jackson
Jefferson
Johnson
Knox 59.95% 76,880 38.32% 49,140 1.73% 2,222 128,242
Lake
Lauderdale
Lawrence
Lewis
Lincoln
Loudon
Macon
Madison 63.77% 15,357 34.24% 8,246 1.99% 479 24,082
Marion
Marshall
Maury
McMinn
McNairy
Meigs
Monroe
Montgomery 60.22% 24,813 36.38% 14,988 3.4% 1,400 41,201
Moore
Morgan
Obion 82.63% 6,418 15.10% 1,173 2.27% 176 7,767
Overton
Perry
Pickett
Polk
Putnam 72.45% 14,217 24.84% 4,875 2.71% 532 19,624
Rhea
Roane
Robertson 75.97% 14,066 21.86% 4,048 2.17% 400 18,514
Rutherford 61.99% 46,575 35.87% 26,948 2.14% 1,604 75,127
Scott
Sequatchie
Sevier 80.36% 18,314 16.75% 3,818 2.89% 658 22,790
Shelby 43.20% 86,384 54.51% 108,995 2.29% 4,583 199,962
Smith
Stewart
Sullivan
Sumner 71.57% 37,466 26.12% 13,672 2.31% 1,209 52,347
Tipton
Trousdale
Unicoi
Union
Van Buren
Warren
Washington
Wayne
Weakley 78.94% 6,417 18.32% 1,489 2.74% 223 8,129
White
Williamson 68.06% 58,132 30.57% 26,116 1.37% 1,169 85,417
Wilson 70.69% 31,496 27.40% 12,208 1.91% 848 44,552
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also[edit]

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References[edit]

  1. ^ “Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2022”. Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2023.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  2. ^ “2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar”. www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
  3. ^ “Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race”. AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
  4. ^ McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). “Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms”. WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  5. ^ Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). “Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing”. 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
  6. ^ Ebert, Joel. “‘I love this job’: Bill Lee says he’ll seek a second term as Tennessee governor”. The Tennessean. The USA Today Network. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
  7. ^ a b c d “Tennessee Petitions”. TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  8. ^ “New PAC Targets Gov. Lee’s Re-Election Bid”. Across Tennessee, TN Patch. April 29, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  9. ^ Rau, Nate (March 23, 2022). “Maury County Mayor Andy Ogles enters District 5 race”. Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
  10. ^ a b Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). “Redistricting looms in Texas”. Politico. Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
  11. ^ a b “Nikki Haley endorses Republican Governor”. ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2021.
  12. ^ “August 4, 2022 Republican Primary Governor” (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
  13. ^ “Doctor eyes run for governor”. Nashville Post. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  14. ^ “Sumner County doctor Jason Martin announces gubernatorial campaign | News | wsmv.com”. www.wsmv.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
  15. ^ “First Democratic Candidate for Governor”. Tri-State Defender. April 8, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
  16. ^ “Memphis City Councilman JB Smiley Jr. Enters Democratic Race for Tennessee Governor”. The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  17. ^ “Democrats running for governor make it official”. Nashville Post. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
  18. ^ ““I’m suspending my campaign for governor.”“. Facebook. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
  19. ^ “New PAC targets Lee’s re-election bid”. Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
  20. ^ “I’m so excited y’all, @jasonbmartin is exactly the leadership TN families need now!”. Twitter. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  21. ^ “Memphis congressman endorses in ’22 gubernatorial primary”. Nashville Post. October 13, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  22. ^ “Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris endorses Smiley for governor”. May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.
  23. ^ “20-Plus Tennessee Leaders Announce Support for JB Smiley, Jr. for Governor”. The Tennessee Tribune. October 21, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  24. ^ “August 4, 2022 Democratic Primary Governor” (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
  25. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l “Petition Information”. Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
  26. ^ “2022 Governor Race Ratings”. The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  27. ^ “Gubernatorial Ratings”. Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  28. ^ “2022 Gubernatorial race ratings”. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  29. ^ “Tennessee Governor Race 2022”. Politico. April 1, 2022.
  30. ^ “2022 Governor Races”. RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  31. ^ “2022 Election Forecast”. Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  32. ^ “2022 Election Forecast”. FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  33. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). “Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings”. Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  34. ^ “Bill Lee’s Ratings and Endorsements”. justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  35. ^ “NFIB Tennessee PAC Endorses Bill Lee for Second Term as Governor”. National Federation of Independent Businesses. September 15, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  36. ^ “Tennessee Endorsements”. National Right to Life. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  37. ^ “General Election Endorsements”. Retrieved October 17, 2022.
  38. ^ “Tennessee – COMPAC Endorsements”. UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  39. ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results Governor, November 8, 2022, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
  40. ^ “2022 Gubernatorial Results by County” (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites


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