2024 United States Senate election in Florida

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2024 United States Senate election in Florida

The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Rick Scott was elected with 50.05% of the vote in 2018. He is running for re-election to a second term in office. Senator Scott has announced plans to seek the seat for a second term, despite earlier rumors he may have opted instead to run for President.[1]

Background[edit]

Florida is considered to be a slightly to moderately red state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried Florida by about 3 percentage points. Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature and a majority in its U.S. Representative congressional delegation and have seen landslide victories in the 2022 Gubernatorial and senate elections.[2][3]

Scott was first elected in 2018 by 0.1 points defeating then-incumbent Bill Nelson.[4]

Given the state has trended Republican in the past few years, this race is considered to be favoring Scott. However, some consider the race to have the potential to become more competitive, as both of Scott’s governor races and his senate race have all been victories by less than two percentage points.[5]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Filed paperwork[edit]

  • Matt Boswell[12]
  • Bernard Korn, realtor and perennial candidate[13]
  • Josue Larose, businessman and perennial candidate[14]
  • Matthew Sanscrainte, hospitality management consultant[15]
  • Rod Joseph[16]

Potential[edit]

  • Lauren Book, Minority Leader of the Florida Senate (2021–present) from the 35th district (2016–present)[17]
  • Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, U.S. Representative from Florida’s 20th congressional district (2022–present)[17]
  • Fentrice Driskell, Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2022–present) from the 67th district (2018–present)[18][17]
  • Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando (2003–present)[19]
  • Anna Eskamani, state representative (2018–present) (currently running for re-election)[18][19]
  • Gwen Graham, U.S. Assistant Secretary of Education (2021–present), former U.S. Representative from Florida’s 2nd congressional district (2015–2017), daughter of former U.S. Senator Bob Graham, and candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018[18]
  • Shevrin Jones, state senator from the 35th district (2021–present)[20]
  • Jared Moskowitz, U.S. Representative from Florida’s 23rd congressional district (2023–present)[17]
  • Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. Representative from Florida’s 26th congressional district (2019–2021)[20][19]
  • Stephanie Murphy, former U.S. Representative from Florida’s 7th congressional district (2017–2023)[21][17]
  • Andrew Warren, suspended Hillsborough County State Attorney (2017–2022)[18]
  • Debbie Wasserman Schultz, U.S. Representative from Florida’s 25th congressional district (2004–present)[17]

Declined[edit]

Independents and third-party candidates[edit]

Filed paperwork[edit]

  • James Davis (Write-in), code enforcement officer and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[22]
  • Alix Christopher Toulme, Moderate Party[23]
  • Randy Toler [24]
  • Salomon Hernandez Sr.[25]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ “Rick Scott plotting how to wreck Ron DeSantis — so he can run for president himself: report – Raw Story – Celebrating 18 Years of Independent Journalism”. www.rawstory.com. Retrieved January 28, 2023.
  2. ^ “Florida 2020 presidential election results”. www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  3. ^ Fineout, Gary. “Florida Republicans get a ‘win for the ages’“. POLITICO. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  4. ^ “Florida | Full Senate results”. www.cnn.com. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  5. ^ Perry, Mitch (February 21, 2023). “Can any Democrat pose a serious challenge to wealthy Rick Scott in 2024? Or is he vulnerable?”. Florida Phoenix. Retrieved April 16, 2023.
  6. ^ Ogles, Jacob (April 11, 2023). “Keith Gross launches GOP Primary challenge to Rick Scott”. Florida Politics.
  7. ^ Caputo, Marc (January 26, 2023). “Sen. Rick Scott is running for re-election pushing his controversial ‘Rescue’ plan”. NBC News. Retrieved January 26, 2023.
  8. ^ Greenwood, Max (December 14, 2022). “Rick Scott faces uncertain future after bruising midterm year”. One GOP operative suggested Rep. Byron Donalds, a first-term congressman from southwest Florida, as a possible rival [to Scott].
  9. ^ “Sixty Days for 3.14.23 — A prime-time look at the 2023 Legislative Regular Session”. U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz, declining to challenge U.S. Rick Scott in 2024.
  10. ^ “Support Pro-Israel Candidates”. AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  11. ^ “Club for Growth endorses Scott and dings McConnell”.
  12. ^ “Matt Boswell FEC Statement of Candidacy”. June 12, 2022. Retrieved December 11, 2022.
  13. ^ “Bernard Korn FEC Statement of Candidacy” (PDF). January 1, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2022.
  14. ^ “Josue Larose FEC Statement of Candidacy”. September 19, 2022. Retrieved December 11, 2022.
  15. ^ “Matthew Sanscrainte FEC Statement of Candidacy”. November 23, 2022. Retrieved December 11, 2022.
  16. ^ “Rod Joseph”. Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
  17. ^ a b c d e f g “Can Florida Democrats Find Anyone (at All) to Run for Senate?”. March 27, 2023.
  18. ^ a b c d “Can any Democrat pose a serious challenge to wealthy Rick Scott in 2024? Or is he vulnerable?”. February 21, 2023.
  19. ^ a b c d Covey, Erin (April 4, 2023). “Florida Senate: A Cloudy Forecast for Democrats”. Retrieved April 4, 2023.
  20. ^ a b “Florida, Florida, Florida falls off the Senate map”. March 4, 2023.
  21. ^ “Murphy leaves Congress as bipartisan dealmaker. Could 2024 Senate race beckon?”. December 1, 2022. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  22. ^ “James Davis FEC Statement of Candidacy”. January 28, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2022.
  23. ^ “Alix Christopher Toulme”. Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 3, 2023.
  24. ^ “TOLER, RANDY MR. – Candidate overview”. FEC.gov. Retrieved April 13, 2023.
  25. ^ “HERNANDEZ, SALOMON SR. – Candidate overview”. FEC.gov. Retrieved April 13, 2023.
  26. ^ “2024 Senate Race ratings”. Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  27. ^ “Senate Ratings”. Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  28. ^ “2024 Senate”. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.

External links[edit]

Official websites