2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

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2024 United States Senate election in Indiana

The 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Mike Braun is eligible to run for a second term in office but decided to instead run for Governor.[1] This will be the first election for this seat with no incumbent running since 1958.[a]

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

Publicly expressed interest[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Jim Banks

Executive branch officials
Federal officials
  • John Barrasso, U.S. senator from Wyoming (2007–present)[14]
  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[15]
  • Susan Brooks, former U.S. representative for Indiana’s 5th congressional district (2013–2021)[16]
  • Larry Bucshon, U.S. representative for Indiana’s 8th congressional district (2011–present)[17]
  • Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[18]
  • Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)[19]
  • Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[20]
  • Greg Pence, U.S. representative for Indiana’s 6th congressional district (2019–present)[21]
  • Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present)[22]
  • John Thune, U.S. senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021–present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019–2021)[23]
  • J. D. Vance, U.S. senator from Ohio (2023–present)[24]
State officials
Organizations

Polling[edit]

Hypothetical polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b]		 Margin
of error 		Jim
Banks 		Mitch
Daniels 		Trey
Hollingsworth 		Todd
Rokita 		Victoria
Spartz 		Other Undecided
Bellwether Research December 11–17, 2022 1,000 (LV) – 14% – 11% 16% 12% 9% 39%
10% 32% 9% 7% 7% 6% 29%
Response:AI[A] December 9–16, 2022 503 (RV) ± 4.3% 14% 35% 6% — 14% 9%[c] 17%

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Potential[edit]

Declined[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

  1. ^ Richard Lugar ran for re-election to a seventh term in 2012, but lost in the Republican primary to Richard Mourdock.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ “Someone else” with 10%, Ruth-Green with 4%, and Hill with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Spartz’s campaign.

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b Wren, Adam. “Braun to run for Indiana governor, opening Senate seat in 2024”. POLITICO.
  2. ^ a b Wright, David (January 17, 2023). “GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign”. CNN.
  3. ^ Garbacz, Steve (December 1, 2022). “Banks ‘seriously considering’ Senate run in 2024”. There’s a possibility that Gov. Eric Holcomb…could also make a run
  4. ^ Fowler, Ashley (December 7, 2022). “Holcomb on possible 2024 Senate run: ‘There’ll be time for me to think about the future in the future’“. WISH-TV.
  5. ^ Everett, Burgess; Beavers, Olivia (December 5, 2022). “Red-state rodeos to set GOP’s 2024 Senate chances”. Politico. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  6. ^ Carden, Dan (December 25, 2022). “Poll suggests defeated Northwest Indiana US House candidate next time might run for US Senate”. The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  7. ^ Wren, Adam; Beavers, Olivia (September 22, 2022). “Hoosier free-for-all? Spartz eyes Senate run in 2024 as Braun pursues gov race”. Politico. Retrieved September 23, 2022.
  8. ^ “Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 12/15”. December 15, 2022. Rep. Trey Hollingsworth is indeed ‘seriously considering’ running to succeed Sen. Mike Braun
  9. ^ Weaver, Al (January 31, 2023). “Mitch Daniels passes on Senate campaign”.
  10. ^ Weaver, Al (February 3, 2023). “Victoria Spartz passes on Senate run, to retire from Congress at end of term”. The Hill.
  11. ^ “Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office”. The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  12. ^ Weaver, Al (February 1, 2023). “Trump endorses Jim Banks for Indiana Senate seat”. The Hill.
  13. ^ Shaw, Adan (January 23, 2023). “Jim Banks wins Stephen Miller’s backing for ‘bold pro-American agenda,’ after launching Senate bid”. Fox News.
  14. ^ Oshin, Olafimihan (February 2, 2023). “Banks lands first endorsement from Senate Republican leadership”. The Hill.
  15. ^ Gans, Jared (February 21, 2023). “Ten Republican senators hosting fundraiser for Banks’ Senate bid”. The Hill.
  16. ^ “At the Races: Train wreck — it’s not just a metaphor”. February 23, 2023.
  17. ^ “Banks’ shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race”. January 17, 2023.
  18. ^ a b c “Indiana Rep. Jim Banks announces bid for Braun’s Senate seat”. NBC News. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
  19. ^ “Steve Daines endorses Jim Banks”. about.bgov.com. Bloomberg.com. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  20. ^ Elkind, Elizabeth (March 6, 2023). “McConnell to appear at fundraiser for Trump ally Jim Banks’ Senate campaign”. Fox News.
  21. ^ “Banks’ shot: Rising conservative dives into Indiana Senate race”. Politico. January 17, 2023.
  22. ^ “Marco Rubio Endorses Jim Banks in Heated Hoosier Senate Race”. American Reveille. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  23. ^ Sivak, David (March 23, 2023). “Jim Banks picks up endorsement of No. 2 Senate Republican”. Washington Examiner.
  24. ^ Shaw, Adan (January 31, 2023). “Sen. JD Vance of Ohio backs Rep. Jim Banks in Indiana’s Senate GOP primary”. Fox News.
  25. ^ Garbacz, Steve (March 21, 2023). “Lt. Gov. Crouch endorses Banks for Senate”. KPC News.
  26. ^ “CatholicVote.org Candidate Fund Endorses Jim Banks for Senate”.
  27. ^ “SBA Pro-Life America’s Candidate Fund Endorses Pro-Life Champion Jim Banks for U.S. Senate”.
  28. ^ “We are pleased to announce our first endorsement in the 2024 cycle for conservative warrior @Jim_Banks! Jim is committed to an America First agenda and we are behind him 100%”.
  29. ^ Smith, Casey (December 12, 2022). “McCormick hints at run for Indiana governor, while other Democrats still mum”. Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
  30. ^ a b “Klain tells Indiana Dems he’s not interested in a Senate bid”. March 7, 2023.
  31. ^ Blanchard, Peter; Wooten, Taylor (September 9, 2022). “What’s next for Indy Mayor Joe Hogsett? Will he seek a third term?”. Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  32. ^ “2024 Senate Race ratings”. Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  33. ^ “Senate Ratings”. Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  34. ^ “2024 Senate”. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites

Jim Banks (R) for Senate