[{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BlogPosting","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/opinion-polling-for-the-2010-united-kingdom-general-election\/#BlogPosting","mainEntityOfPage":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/opinion-polling-for-the-2010-united-kingdom-general-election\/","headline":"Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election","name":"Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election","description":"In the run-up to the general election of 2010, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting","datePublished":"2017-08-22","dateModified":"2017-08-22","author":{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/author\/lordneo\/#Person","name":"lordneo","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/author\/lordneo\/","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","height":96,"width":96}},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","width":600,"height":60}},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/e\/e4\/Opinion_polling_for_the_2010_United_Kingdom_general_election.png\/1000px-Opinion_polling_for_the_2010_United_Kingdom_general_election.png","url":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/e\/e4\/Opinion_polling_for_the_2010_United_Kingdom_general_election.png\/1000px-Opinion_polling_for_the_2010_United_Kingdom_general_election.png","height":"504","width":"1000"},"url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/opinion-polling-for-the-2010-united-kingdom-general-election\/","wordCount":42094,"articleBody":"In the run-up to the general election of 2010, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.The election took place on 6 May 2010, coinciding with the local elections. The previous general election was held on 5 May 2005.Tony Blair stood down as prime minister after 10 years in June 2007, and was succeeded by chancellor Gordon Brown. That autumn, the national media reported that an imminent general election was likely, putting all polling organisations, the press and political parties on an election footing, but Brown eventually announced that he would not seek a dissolution. According to many media and political figures, this was because he believed that Labour was likely to lose its majority in a snap general election, even though many opinion polls suggested that a fourth successive election win for Labour was likely, and this would potentially have ensured the Labour government’s survival to the end of 2012. Brown has since claimed that Labour would have won but he did not believe an early election was in the national interest.[1][2]In the meantime, Michael Howard had stepped down as Tory leader after the 2005 general election, being succeeded by David Cameron. In January 2006, Charles Kennedy stepped down as leader of the Liberal Democrats to be succeeded by Menzies Campbell, who himself resigned at the end of the following year to be succeeded by Nick Clegg.2006 had seen the Tories make gains in local elections, as well as enjoying their first consistent lead of the opinion polls in 14 years. 2007 had seen both the Tories and Labour lead the opinion polls, but 2008 saw the Tories build up a wide lead as the Labour government’s support slumped in the face of the economic crisis. Labour also suffered huge losses in local elections, as well as suffering by-election defeats, with the Tories, Liberal Democrats and Scottish National Party all enjoying success at Labour’s expense. This trend continued throughout 2009 as the recession deepened and unemployment continued to soar. The expenses scandal also had an adverse effect on the Labour government’s dwindling popularity, although MPs from other parties were also shamed in the scandal. Labour also performed dismally at the 2009 European Parliament election,[3] and opinion polls pointed towards a heavy defeat in the event of a general election. The previous two general elections had both been held at four-year intervals, but there would be no general election in 2009.On 6 April 2010, Brown called a general election for 6 May \u2013 with the opinion polls still showing a Conservative lead, although most of the polls showed that a Conservative majority was unlikely, suggesting that Labour could still continue in a minority or coalition government. In the event, the Tories enjoyed the largest share of votes and seats, but came 20 seats short of a majority. On 11 May, Brown tendered his resignation as prime minister to the Queen, and recommended that Cameron should be invited to form the next government. Cameron duly did so, forming a government in coalition with the Liberal Democrats, and making Clegg deputy prime minister.Table of ContentsBackground[edit]Polling since 2005[edit]Exit poll[edit]Graphical summaries[edit]Poll results[edit]2010[edit]2009[edit]2008[edit]2007[edit]2006[edit]2005[edit]See also[edit]External links[edit]Background[edit]Since each MP is elected separately by the first past the post voting system, it is impossible to precisely project a clear election outcome from overall national shares of the vote. Not only can individual constituencies vary markedly from overall voting trends, but individual countries and regions within the nation may have a very different electoral contest that is not properly reflected in overall share of the vote figures.Therefore, the first past the post system means that the number of MPs elected may not reflect the overall popular vote share across the parties. Thus, it is not necessarily the party with the largest share of the popular vote that ends up with the largest number of MPs. (See details of the elections in 1951 and February 1974) Since 1935 no party has achieved more than 50% of the popular vote in a British general election. The voting system favours parties with relatively concentrated support: a widely distributed vote leaves a party at risk of getting a large vote share but doing poorly in terms of numbers of seats (as the SDP\u2013Liberal Alliance did in the 1980s), whereas parties with localised votes can win seats with a relatively small share of the vote.[4]That said, in previous elections, approximate forecasting of results were achieved by assuming that the swing in each individual constituency will be the same across the country. This system, known as uniform national swing (UNS) is used by much of the media in Britain to assess and extrapolate electoral fortunes from opinion poll data, though there has been criticism that such predictions may be naive and unreliable, even from providers of such data.[5] By using UNS projections, several media commentators and politicians have suggested that significant swings towards the Liberal Democrats in the opinion polls may not necessarily amount to significant gains in terms of parliamentary seats, including predictions that even if the Liberal Democrats had the most votes, and Labour the least, it could be the case that Labour retains the most seats while the Lib Dems have the fewest.[6][7][8]Normally governments can easily survive for a full parliamentary term on a majority of more than 20 seats over all other parties. Below that level there is a danger of by-elections and MPs crossing the floor of the House of Commons reducing the government to a minority such that it would be at increased risk of losing a vote of no confidence.Polling since 2005[edit]Immediately following the previous general election, the Labour Party held a double-digit lead in opinion polls. However, over the course of 2005, this lead was eroded somewhat. By December, the Conservative Party showed its first small leads in opinion polls following the controversial 90 days detention proposals and the election of David Cameron as Conservative leader.[9]In early 2006, opinion polls were increasingly mixed with small leads given alternately to Labour and Conservative. From the May 2006 local elections, in which Labour suffered significant losses, the Conservatives took a small single-digit lead in opinion polls. This was the first consistent lead of the opinion polls that the Conservatives had enjoyed for 14 years.Labour regained the lead in June 2007, following the resignation of Tony Blair as prime minister and the selection of Gordon Brown as his successor. Brown resisted calls from his party to hold a general election, despite opinion polls suggesting that Labour was capable of being re-elected at this stage. From November 2007, however, the Conservatives again took the lead and, from then, extended their lead into double digits, particularly in response to the MPs’ expenses scandal and the economic recession along with the increased unemployment that resulted from it, although there was some evidence that the lead narrowed slightly towards the end of 2008 and again in late 2009. By the end of February 2010, Ipsos MORI, ICM, YouGov and ComRes polls had all found a sufficient narrowing of the Conservative lead for media speculation about a hung parliament to return – scenario which could have allowed Labour to cling onto power in a minority or coalition government.[10]From 15 April 2010, following the first televised debate of the party leaders, however, polling data changed dramatically, with the Lib Dem vote proportion rising to 28\u201333%, and the Conservative vote proportion falling. In some polls, the Liberal Democrats took the lead from the Conservatives by a narrow margin which was unprecedented in the period since the Lib Dems were founded in 1988. Under UNS projections, this made a hung parliament highly probable, if Lib Dem performance had persisted.[11]Following the second debate on 22 April the polls, on average, placed the Conservatives in the lead on 33%, the Liberal Democrats in second on 30% and Labour in third on 28%. If these polls had reflected the election day results on a uniform swing nationwide, Labour would have had the most seats in a hung Parliament, and therefore it still appeared possible that Labour might remain in power as the main party in a minority or coalition government.Exit poll[edit]At 10 pm on election day, coinciding with the closure of the polls, the results of an exit poll collected for the BBC, Sky and ITV news services were announced. Data were gathered from individuals at 130 polling stations around the country. The results of the poll initially suggested a hung parliament with the Conservative Party 19 seats from a controlling majority; this was later adjusted to 21 seats. The distribution of seats amongst the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and other parties was initially suggested to be 307, 255, 59 and 29 respectively,[12] although the seat numbers were later changed to 303, 251, 69, and 27 respectively.[13]Initial reaction to the exit poll by various commentators was of surprise at the apparent poor prospects for the Liberal Democrats[14] because it was odds with many opinion polls undertaken in the previous weeks. However, the actual results showed that the exit poll was a good predictor.A later BBC Exit poll (05:36 BST) predicted the Conservatives on 306, 20 short of an overall majority, Labour on 262, and Liberal Democrats on 55.[13]Graphical summaries[edit]  \u00a0\u00a0Conservatives\u00a0\u00a0Labour\u00a0\u00a0Liberal Democrats\u00a0\u00a0UKIP\u00a0\u00a0BNP\u00a0\u00a0SNP\u00a0\u00a0Green\u00a0\u00a0RespectThe following graph shows YouGov poll results since the calling of the general election.The following graph shows ComRes poll results recorded over the period 11 April \u2013 6 May 2010, including annotations of the three TV debates.Poll results[edit]Poll results are initially listed in reverse chronological order showing the most recent first, using the date the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.The figure given in the ‘lead’ column before the televised leaders’ debates is the lead held by Labour or the Conservatives over the second placed of the two parties. For figures after the first debate, after which the Liberal Democrats were placed in first or second position in some polls, the second placed party is also noted in the column where applicable.Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council, and abide by its disclosure rules. BPIX is not a member of the BPC, and does not publish detailed methodology and findings.2010[edit]PollsterClientDate(s)ConductedSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLead2010 general election6 May\u201329.7%36.9%23.6%9.8%7.2%Ipsos MORIEvening Standard5 May1,21629%36%27%8%7%YouGovThe Sun4\u20135 May6,48328%35%28%9%7%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]Daily Mail4\u20135 May4,01429%35%27%7%6%Populus Archived 25 July 2018 at the Wayback MachineThe Times4\u20135 May2,50528%37%27%8%9%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com4\u20135 May2,28324%36%29%11%7%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express4\u20135 May1,38327%35%26%12%8%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent4\u20135 May1,02528%37%28%7%9%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian3\u20134 May1,52728%36%26%10%8%YouGovThe Sun3\u20134 May1,46130%35%24%11%5%TNS-BMRBN\/A29 Apr\u20134 May1,86427%33%29%11%4%Harris InteractiveThe Metro28 Apr\u20134 May78626%36%28%10%8%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent2\u20133 May1,02429%37%26%8%8%YouGovThe Sun2\u20133 May1,45528%35%28%9%7%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express30 Apr \u2013 3 May1,87028%33%27%12%5%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun1\u20132 May1,47528%34%29%9%5%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent1\u20132 May1,02429%37%26%8%8%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian30 Apr \u2013 2 May1,02628%33%28%12%5%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sunday Times30 Apr \u2013 1 May1,48327%35%28%10%7%ComResMultipleThe IndependentSunday Mirror30 Apr \u2013 1 May1,01928%38%25%9%10%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun30 Apr1,41228%34%28%10%6%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph30 Apr1,01929%36%27%8%7%Angus Reid Public OpinionSunday Express29\u201330 Apr1,87423%35%29%13%6%29 AprThe third Prime Ministerial debateYouGovThe Sun28\u201329 Apr1,62327%34%28%11%6%YouGovThe Sun27\u201328 Apr1,53027%34%31%8%3%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun26\u201327 Apr1,59829%33%28%10%4%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent26\u201327 Apr1,00629%36%26%9%7%PopulusThe Times26\u201327 Apr1,51027%36%28%8%8%TNS-BMRBN\/A21\u201327 Apr2,07827%34%30%9%4%YouGovThe Sun25\u201326 Apr1,49128%33%29%10%4%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent25\u201326 Apr1,00529%33%29%9%4%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express23\u201326 Apr1,94225%34%28%13%6%Angus Reid Public OpinionThe Economist23\u201326 Apr2,43323%33%30%14%3%Harris InteractiveThe Metro20\u201326 Apr1,67825%32%30%13%2%YouGovThe Sun24\u201325 Apr1,46628%34%30%8%4%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent24\u201325 Apr1,00328%32%31%9%1%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian23\u201325 Apr1,03128%33%30%8%3%YouGovThe Sunday Times23\u201324 Apr1,41227%35%28%9%7%ComResMultipleThe Independent on SundaySunday Mirror23\u201324 Apr1,00628%34%29%9%5%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph23 Apr1,02026%35%31%8%4%Ipsos MORNews of the World23 Apr1,24530%36%23%11%6%YouGovThe Sun22\u201323 Apr1,38129%34%29%8%5%22 AprThe second Prime Ministerial debateYouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun21\u201322 Apr1,57629%34%28%9%5%YouGovThe Sun20\u201321 Apr1,54527%33%31%9%2%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun19\u201320 Apr1,59526%31%34%9%3%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com19\u201320 Apr1,95323%32%33%12%1%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent19\u201320 Apr1,01525%35%27%13%8%Populus[permanent dead link]The Times19\u201320 Apr1,50128%32%31%9%1%Ipsos MORIEvening Standard18\u201320 Apr1,25328%32%32%8%TieTNS-BMRBN\/A14\u201320 Apr1,95329%34%30%7%4%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent18\u201319 Apr1,01226%35%26%13%9%YouGovThe Sun18\u201319 Apr1,50927%33%31%8%2%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express16\u201319 Apr1,95726%32%29%13%3%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com16\u201319 Apr2,00424%32%32%12%TieHarris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro14\u201319 Apr1,79226%31%30%13%1%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent17\u201318 Apr1,00328%32%28%12%4%YouGovThe Sun17\u201318 Apr1,43326%32%33%8%1%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian16\u201318 Apr1,02428%33%30%9%3%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sunday Times16\u201317 Apr1,49030%33%29%8%3%ComResMultipleThe Independent on SundaySunday Mirror16\u201317 Apr1,00627%31%29%13%2%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun15\u201316 Apr1,29028%33%30%9%3%ComResITV News15 Apr4,03228%35%24%13%7%15 AprThe first ever televised Prime Ministerial debateICMThe Sunday Telegraph14\u201315 Apr1,03329%34%27%10%5%YouGovThe Sun14\u201315 Apr1,49031%37%22%10%6%YouGovThe Sun13\u201314 Apr1,57832%41%18%9%9%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent12\u201313 Apr1,00129%35%21%15%6%YouGovThe Sun12\u201313 Apr1,58331%39%20%9%8%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro8\u201313 Apr1,52327%36%23%14%9%TNS-BMRB[permanent dead link]N\/A7\u201313 Apr1,91633%36%22%9%3%PopulusThe Times12 Apr1,52533%36%21%9%3%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent11\u201312 Apr1,00231%36%19%14%5%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com11\u201312 Apr2,00628%38%22%12%10%YouGovThe Sun11\u201312 Apr1,49333%39%20%8%6%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express9\u201312 Apr1,82531%39%17%13%8%ComResMultipleITV NewsThe Independent10\u201311 Apr1,00430%37%20%13%7%YouGovThe Sun10\u201311 Apr1,45531%37%20%12%6%ICMThe Guardian9\u201311 Apr1,02431%37%20%11%6%YouGovThe Sunday Times9\u201310 Apr1,43132%40%18%10%8%ComRes-MultipleThe Independent on SundaySunday Mirror9\u201310 Apr1,00132%39%16%13%7%YouGov[permanent dead link]The Sun8\u20139 Apr1,52730%40%20%10%10%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]Daily Mail7\u20138 Apr1,01227%37%22%14%10%YouGovThe Sun7\u20138 Apr1,62631%40%18%11%9%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph7 Apr1,03230%38%21%10%8%YouGovThe Sun6\u20137 Apr1,48432%37%19%12%5%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com6\u20137 Apr2,19326%37%22%14%11%PopulusThe Times6 Apr1,50732%39%21%8%7%YouGovThe Sun5\u20136 Apr1,45632%40%17%11%8%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro31 Mar-6 Apr2,08028%37%20%15%9%YouGovThe Sun4\u20135 Apr1,62031%41%18%11%10%OpiniumDaily Express2\u20135 Apr1,90329%39%17%15%10%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian1\u20133 Apr1,00133%37%21%9%4%YouGovThe Sunday Times1\u20132 Apr1,50329%39%20%12%10%Angus Reid Public OpinionSunday Express31 Mar-1 Apr1,99127%38%20%15%11%YouGovThe Sun31 Mar-1 Apr1,55231%39%19%11%8%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian30\u201331 Mar1,00329%38%23%10%9%YouGovThe Sun30\u201331 Mar1,61532%38%19%11%6%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com30\u201331 Mar2,01328%37%22%13%9%YouGovThe Sun29\u201330 Mar1,68131%38%19%12%7%TNS-BMRBN\/A24\u201330 Mar1,81933%38%19%10%5%YouGovThe Sun28\u201329 Mar1,61432%39%18%11%7%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express26\u201329 Mar1,78028%38%18%16%10%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro23\u201329 Mar1,13327%37%19%17%10%ComResThe Independent26\u201328 Mar1,00130%37%20%13%7%YouGovThe Sunday Times25\u201326 Mar1,53332%37%19%13%5%ICM[permanent dead link]News of the World24\u201325 Mar1,00331%39%19%11%8%YouGovThe Sun24\u201325 Mar1,48333%37%18%12%4%YouGovThe Sun23\u201324 Mar1,55434%36%17%13%2%YouGovThe Sun22\u201323 Mar1,75633%37%18%12%4%YouGovThe Sun21\u201322 Mar1,56032%36%20%12%4%Ipsos MORIDaily Mirror19\u201322 Mar1,50330%35%21%14%5%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express19\u201322 Mar1,97530%37%15%18%7%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro17\u201322 Mar2,11728%35%17%20%7%YouGovThe Sunday Times18\u201319 Mar1,54731%38%19%13%7%ICM[permanent dead link]News of the World17\u201318 Mar1,00232%38%19%10%6%YouGovThe Sun17\u201318 Mar1,67132%36%20%12%4%YouGovThe Sun16\u201317 Mar1,67632%36%20%11%4%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com15\u201316 Mar2,00326%39%21%15%13%YouGovThe Sun15\u201316 Mar1,46032%37%19%12%5%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro10\u201316 Mar1,93428%36%18%18%8%YouGovThe Sun14\u201315 Mar1,46632%37%21%10%5%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express12\u201315 Mar1,95128%39%16%17%11%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian12\u201314 Mar1,00231%40%20%9%9%YouGovThe Sunday Times11\u201312 Mar1,50733%37%17%12%4%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph10\u201311 Mar1,00731%38%21%10%7%YouGovThe Sun10\u201311 Mar1,43434%37%17%12%3%YouGovThe Sun9\u201310 Mar1,47332%37%17%14%5%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com9\u201310 Mar2,00326%39%18%17%13%YouGovThe Sun8\u20139 Mar1,52432%36%20%12%4%YouGovThe Sun7\u20138 Mar1,74734%39%16%11%5%Opinium[permanent dead link]Daily Express5\u20138 Mar1,96030%37%16%16%7%Harris Interactive[permanent dead link]The Metro3\u20138 Mar1,49829%37%18%16%8%YouGovThe Sunday Times4\u20135 Mar1,55833%38%17%12%5%ICM[permanent dead link]News of the World3\u20134 Mar1,00531%40%18%11%9%YouGovThe Sun3\u20134 Mar1,64032%38%17%13%6%YouGovThe Sun2\u20133 Mar1,66132%38%19%12%6%TNS-BMRBN\/A25 Feb \u2013 3 Mar1,97331%39%19%11%8%YouGovThe Sun1\u20132 Mar1,47933%38%16%13%5%YouGovThe Sun28 Feb-1 Mar1,50532%39%17%12%7%ComResThe Independent26\u201328 Feb1,00532%37%19%12%5%YouGovThe Sunday Times25\u201326 Feb1,43635%37%17%11%2%YouGovThe Sun24\u201325 Feb1,47233%39%16%12%6%YouGovThe Sun23\u201324 Feb1,47332%38%19%10%6%TNS-BMRBN\/A18\u201324 Feb1,95432%36%21%12%4%YouGovThe Sun22\u201323 Feb1,46932%38%17%12%6%YouGovThe Sun21\u201322 Feb1,57833%39%17%12%6%Ipsos MORIThe Daily Telegraph19\u201322 Feb1,53332%37%19%12%5%Harris Interative[permanent dead link]The Metro16\u201322 Feb91830%39%22%9%9%ICMThe Guardian19\u201321 Feb1,00430%37%20%13%7%YouGovThe Sunday Times18\u201319 Feb1,47233%39%17%11%6%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com16\u201319 Feb4,00426%38%19%16%12%YouGovThe Sun17\u201318 Feb1,55832%39%18%11%7%ComResTheos16\u201317 Feb1,08530%38%20%11%8%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com16\u201317 Feb2,00226%40%18%16%14%YouGovThe Sun16\u201317 Feb2,14530%39%18%13%9%ComResThe Independent10\u201311 Feb1,00929%40%21%10%11%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com9\u201310 Feb2,00225%38%20%16%13%PopulusThe Times5\u20137 Feb1,50230%40%20%11%10%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph3\u20134 Feb1,00130%39%20%11%9%ComResThe Independent29\u201331 Jan1,00131%38%19%12%7%BPIX[15]Mail on Sunday29\u201330 Jan1,52430%39%18%13%9%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph28\u201329 Jan2,05431%38%19%12%7%YouGovThe People26\u201328 Jan2,04431%40%18%11%9%Ipsos MORIDaily Mirror26\u201328 Jan1,00132%40%16%12%8%Angus Reid Public OpinionPoliticalBetting.com26\u201327 Jan2,00424%40%19%16%16%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian22\u201324 Jan1,00029%40%21%10%11%ComResSunday Mirror20\u201321 Jan1,00429%38%19%14%9%YouGovThe Sunday Times14\u201315 Jan2,03331%40%18%11%9%ComResThe Independent on Sunday13\u201314 Jan1,00529%42%19%10%13%Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link]PoliticalBetting.com9\u201310 Jan2,01024%40%20%17%16%PopulusThe Times8\u201310 Jan1,50928%41%19%12%13%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph6\u20137 Jan1,00330%40%18%12%10%YouGovThe Sun6\u20137 Jan2,83230%42%16%12%12%YouGovThe Sun5\u20136 Jan4,16731%40%17%12%9%2009[edit]PollsterClientDate(s)ConductedSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLeadYouGovThe Daily Telegraph29\u201330 Dec1,84830%40%17%12%10%ComResThe Independent19\u201320 Dec1,00629%38%19%14%9%Angus Reid StrategiesPoliticalBetting.com16\u201318 Dec2,01024%40%20%15%16%YouGovThe People15\u201317 Dec2,05228%40%18%14%12%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian11\u201313 Dec1,00931%40%18%11%9%Ipsos MORIThe Observer11\u201313 Dec1,01726%43%20%12%17%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 Dec2,04431%40%16%13%9%ComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent on Sunday9\u201310 Dec1,00124%41%21%14%17%Angus Reid StrategiesPoliticalBetting.com8\u201310 Dec2,00223%40%19%19%17%PopulusThe Times4\u20136 Dec1,50530%38%20%12%8%YouGovThe Sunday Times3\u20134 Dec2,09527%40%18%15%13%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph2\u20133 Dec1,00129%40%19%12%11%ComResThe Independent27\u201329 Nov1,00327%37%20%16%10%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph24\u201326 Nov2,00429%39%19%13%10%Angus Reid StrategiesPoliticalBetting.com20\u201323 Nov2,00422%39%21%18%17%Ipsos MORIThe Observer13\u201315 Nov1,00631%37%17%13%6%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian13\u201315 Nov1,01029%42%19%10%13%YouGovThe Sunday Times12\u201313 Nov2,02627%41%18%14%14%12 NovGlasgow North East by-electionComResThe Independent on Sunday11\u201312 Nov1,00725%39%17%19%14%PopulusThe Times6\u20138 Nov1,50429%39%18%14%10%Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link]PoliticalBetting.com4\u20136 Nov2,00024%38%20%17%14%YouGovChannel 4 News4\u20135 Nov1,02127%41%17%16%14%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph28\u201329 Oct1,00725%42%21%13%17%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph27\u201329 Oct2,02428%41%16%15%13%ComResThe Independent23\u201325 Oct1,00427%40%18%15%13%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph22\u201323 Oct1,31427%40%19%14%13%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian16\u201318 Oct1,00227%44%18%11%17%Ipsos MORIN\/A16\u201318 Oct99626%43%19%11%17%Angus Reid Strategies[permanent dead link]PoliticalBetting.com15\u201316 Oct2,07723%40%20%15%17%YouGovThe Sunday Times15\u201316 Oct2,02530%41%17%12%11%ComResThe Independent on Sunday14\u201315 Oct1,00828%40%19%13%12%PopulusThe Times9\u201311 Oct1,50930%40%18%12%10%YouGovThe Sun8\u20139 Oct2,16128%42%18%12%14%YouGovSky News8\u20139 Oct1,06427%44%17%12%17%ICMNews of the World7\u20139 Oct1,00826%45%18%10%19%YouGovSky News7\u20138 Oct1,07431%40%18%11%9%YouGovSky News6\u20137 Oct1,03929%43%17%11%14%YouGovSky News5\u20136 Oct1,22328%41%18%13%13%YouGovSky News4\u20135 Oct1,10227%40%20%13%13%YouGovThe People3 Oct2,02728%40%18%14%12%YouGovSky News1\u20132 Oct1,05329%41%17%13%12%ComResThe Independent on Sunday30 Sep-1 Oct1,02228%40%19%13%12%YouGovSky News30 Sep-1 Oct1,08526%40%20%15%14%YouGovSky News29\u201330 Sep1,07830%37%21%12%7%YouGovSky News28\u201329 Sep1,02429%40%18%13%11%YouGovSky News27\u201328 Sep1,05129%39%20%13%10%Ipsos MORIN\/A25\u201327 Sep1,00324%36%25%15%11%ComResThe Independent25\u201327 Sep1,00323%38%23%16%15%YouGovSky News24\u201325 Sep1,05924%40%21%14%16%YouGovSky News23\u201324 Sep1,05725%38%23%14%13%ICMNews of the World23\u201324 Sep1,00326%40%23%11%14%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph22\u201324 Sep2,02626%39%20%15%13%YouGovSky News22\u201323 Sep1,03628%38%19%15%10%YouGovSky News21\u201322 Sep1,06227%39%20%13%12%YouGovSky News20\u201321 Sep1,08130%39%17%14%9%ICMThe Guardian18\u201320 Sep1,00126%43%19%12%17%PopulusThe Times11\u201313 Sep1,50627%41%18%14%14%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 Sep2,00927%41%17%15%14%ComResThe Independent4\u20136 Sep1,00524%40%21%15%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph4\u20136 Sep1,57327%40%18%15%13%YouGovThe Sun27\u201328 Aug1,99628%42%17%14%14%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph25\u201327 Aug2,19926%42%18%14%16%Ipsos MORIN\/A21\u201323 Aug1,01326%43%17%13%17%ICMThe Guardian21\u201323 Aug1,00425%41%19%14%16%ComResThe Independent on Sunday19\u201320 Aug1,01324%41%18%16%17%YouGovThe Sunday Times13\u201314 Aug2,00728%42%18%13%14%ICM\/Sunday MirrorSunday Mirror12\u201313 Aug1,00526%43%19%12%17%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph28\u201330 July2,33427%41%18%15%14%ComResThe Independent24\u201326 July1,00824%42%18%16%18%23 JulyNorwich North by-electionYouGovThe People21\u201323 July2,21825%40%20%16%15%Ipsos MORIN\/A17\u201319 July1,01224%40%18%18%16%PopulusThe Times17\u201319 July1,50426%38%20%16%12%YouGovThe Sunday Times16\u201317 July1,95625%42%18%15%17%ComResThe Independent on Sunday15\u201316 July1,01023%38%22%16%15%ICMThe Guardian10\u201311 July1,00027%41%20%12%14%YouGovFabian Society1\u20133 July2,00126%39%19%17%13%ComResThe Independent26\u201328 June1,00725%36%19%20%11%YouGovThe People24\u201326 June2,01724%40%17%19%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph23\u201325 June2,23325%38%18%19%13%Ipsos MORI[permanent dead link]N\/A19\u201321 June1,00421%38%19%23%17%ComResThe Independent on Sunday17\u201318 June1,01222%39%18%21%17%Harris Interative[permanent dead link]The Metro10\u201317 June2,08120%35%16%29%15%Ipsos MORIUNISON12\u201314 June1,25225%39%19%17%14%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian12\u201314 June1,00627%39%18%15%12%YouGovThe Sunday Times11\u201312 June1,90224%40%18%19%16%PopulusThe Times9\u201310 June1,00124%36%19%21%12%8 June2009 European Parliament electionComResThe Independent5\u20137 June1,00122%38%20%20%16%5 June2009 United Kingdom local electionsYouGovThe Daily Telegraph2\u20133 June4,01421%37%19%23%16%ComResThe Independent29\u201331 May1,00522%30%18%30%8%Ipsos MORI29\u201331 May1,00118%40%18%24%22%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph27\u201329 May5,01622%39%18%21%17%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph27\u201328 May1,01322%40%25%13%15%PopulusThe Times27\u201328 May1,00121%41%15%23%20%PopulusITV News19\u201320 May1,00027%39%17%18%12%ICMThe Guardian15\u201317 May1,00228%39%20%14%11%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph14\u201316 May2,23523%39%19%19%16%ComResThe Independent on Sunday13\u201314 May1,01021%40%18%21%19%YouGovThe Sun13\u201314 May1,81422%41%19%18%19%PopulusThe Times8\u201310 May1,50426%39%22%13%13%BPIX[15]Mail on Sunday8\u20139 MayUnknown[15]23%45%17%15%22%YouGovThe Sunday Times7\u20138 May2,20927%43%18%12%16%ComResThe Independent24\u201326 April1,00326%45%17%12%19%YouGov\/Sunday PeopleSunday People23\u201324 April1,85527%45%17%12%18%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph22\u201323 April1,89627%45%18%10%18%Ipsos MORIN\/A17\u201319 April1,01128%41%22%9%13%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian17\u201319 April1,00530%40%19%11%10%Marketing SciencesThe Sunday Telegraph15\u201316 April1,00726%43%21%10%17%PopulusThe Times3\u20135 April1,51230%43%18%9%13%YouGovThe Sunday Times3\u20134 April2,12534%41%16%10%7%ComResThe Independent27\u201329 March1,00228%40%18%14%12%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph25\u201326 March1,00331%44%18%8%13%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph24\u201326 March2,10431%41%17%11%10%ComResThe Independent on Sunday18\u201319 March1,00230%41%17%12%11%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian13\u201315 March1,00430%42%20%8%12%Ipsos MORIN\/A13\u201315 March1,00732%42%14%11%10%YouGovThe Sunday Times12\u201313 March1,84031%41%17%11%10%PopulusThe Times6\u20138 March1,50430%42%19%9%12%ComResThe Independent27 Feb-1 Mar1,00628%44%17%12%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph24\u201326 Feb2,06331%41%15%12%10%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian20\u201322 Feb1,00430%42%18%10%12%Ipsos MORIN\/A13\u201315 Feb1,00128%48%17%7%20%YouGovThe Sunday Times12\u201313 Feb1,71132%44%14%10%12%ComResThe Independent on Sunday11\u201312 Feb1,00225%41%22%12%16%PopulusThe Times6\u20138 Feb1,50428%42%18%12%14%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph4\u20135 Feb1,01028%40%22%10%12%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph27\u201329 Jan2,33832%43%16%10%11%ICMThe Guardian23\u201325 Jan1,00332%44%16%8%12%ComResThe Independent21\u201322 Jan1,01228%43%16%13%15%Ipsos MORIN\/A16\u201318 Jan1,00530%44%17%9%14%YouGovThe Sunday Times15\u201316 Jan2,07732%45%14%9%13%ComResThe Independent on Sunday14\u201315 Jan1,00932%41%15%12%9%PopulusThe Times9\u201311 Jan1,50033%43%15%9%10%YouGovThe Sun7\u20138 Jan1,83534%41%15%10%7%2008[edit]PollsterClientDate(s)ConductedSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLeadComResThe Independent19\u201321 Dec1,00034%39%16%11%5%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph16\u201318 Dec2,24135%42%14%9%7%Ipsos MORIN\/A12\u201314 Dec1,00035%39%15%11%4%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian12\u201314 Dec1,00333%38%19%10%5%YouGovThe Sunday Times11\u201312 Dec2,09835%41%15%10%6%ComResThe Independent on Sunday10\u201311 Dec1,00336%37%14%12%1%Ipsos MORIN\/A10\u201311 Dec1,00736%41%11%12%5%PopulusThe Times5\u20137 Dec1,50535%39%17%9%4%ComResThe Independent28\u201330 Nov1,00536%37%17%10%1%Ipsos MORIThe Observer27\u201328 Nov1,01732%43%15%10%11%ICMThe Guardian25\u201326 Nov1,02730%45%18%7%15%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph24\u201325 Nov1,55636%40%14%10%4%ICM[permanent dead link]Sunday Mirror19\u201320 Nov1,01031%42%19%8%11%Ipsos MORIN\/A14\u201316 Nov1,00237%40%12%11%3%YouGovThe Sunday Times13\u201314 Nov2,08036%41%14%10%5%ComResThe Independent on Sunday12\u201313 Nov1,01032%43%12%13%11%PopulusThe Times7\u20139 Nov1,50335%41%16%8%6%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph5\u20136 Nov1,00530%43%18%9%13%6 NovGlenrothes by-electionBPIX[15]N\/A2 NovP?31%45%13%11%14%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph27\u201329 Oct2,27133%42%15%10%9%ComResThe Independent24\u201326 Oct1,00131%39%16%14%8%Ipsos MORIN\/A17\u201319 Oct1,00430%45%14%11%15%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian17\u201319 Oct1,00730%42%21%7%12%BPIX[15]N\/A16\u201318 Oct2,04630%46%13%11%16%YouGovThe Daily Mirror15\u201317 Oct2,02934%42%14%10%8%ComResThe Independent on Sunday15\u201316 Oct1,00531%40%16%14%9%YouGovThe Sunday Times9\u201310 Oct1,94133%43%14%10%10%PopulusThe Times3\u20135 Oct1,50330%45%15%10%15%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph1\u20133 Oct2,04831%45%15%9%14%ComResThe Independent26\u201328 Sep1,01729%41%18%12%12%BPIX[15]N\/A24\u201326 Sep2,02031%43%17%9%12%ICMThe Guardian24\u201325 Sep1,01232%41%18%9%9%YouGovThe Sun23\u201324 Sep1,53631%41%16%12%10%ComResThe Independent on Sunday17\u201318 Sep1,01027%39%21%12%12%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph17\u201319 Sep2,22724%44%20%12%20%Ipsos MORIN\/A12\u201314 Sep1,01724%52%12%12%28%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201312 Sep2,16127%46%16%11%19%ComResThe Independent3\u20134 Sep1,01325%44%17%14%19%PopulusThe Times29\u201331 Aug1,50627%43%18%12%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph26\u201327 Aug2,26726%45%16%13%19%ComResThe Independent20\u201321 Aug1,01425%46%16%13%21%ICMThe Guardian15\u201317 Aug1,00229%44%19%8%15%Ipsos MORIN\/A15\u201317 Aug1,00524%48%16%12%24%YouGovThe Sunday Times14\u201315 Aug1,74525%45%18%12%20%YouGovNews of the World6\u20138 Aug2,03126%46%17%11%20%BPIX[15]N\/A31 Jul \u2013 2 Aug1,33324%47%16%13%23%ICMSunday Express30 Jul \u2013 1 Aug1,00129%45%16%10%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph29\u201331 July1,94925%47%16%12%22%PopulusThe Times25\u201327 July1,00227%43%18%12%16%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph23\u201325 July2,12026%45%17%12%19%ComResThe Independent23\u201324 July1,02124%46%18%12%22%24 JulyGlasgow East by-electionIpsos MORIN\/A18\u201320 July1,01627%47%15%11%20%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian18\u201320 July1,00728%43%19%10%15%ComResThe Independent on Sunday16\u201317 July1,01624%45%16%15%21%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 July1,83225%47%16%12%22%PopulusThe Times4\u20136 July1,50728%41%19%12%13%ComResThe Independent25\u201326 June1,00725%46%18%11%21%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph23\u201325 June2,16328%46%15%11%18%26 JuneHenley by-electionICMThe Guardian20\u201322 June1,00025%45%20%10%20%BPIX[15]N\/A18\u201320 June2,38526%49%14%11%23%Ipsos MORIN\/A13\u201315 June1,01228%45%16%11%17%ComResThe Independent on Sunday11\u201312 June1,01226%44%17%13%18%YouGovThe Sunday Times12\u201313 June1,76925%47%18%10%22%PopulusThe Times6\u20138 June1,50825%45%20%10%20%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph4\u20135 June1,02326%42%21%11%16%ComResThe Independent30 May-1 June1,00630%44%16%10%14%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph27\u201329 May2,24123%47%18%12%24%22 MayCrewe and Nantwich by-electionICMThe Guardian16\u201318 May1,00827%41%22%10%14%YouGovThe Sunday Times15\u201316 May1,85425%45%18%12%20%ComResThe Independent on Sunday14\u201315 May1,00426%43%19%12%17%YouGovThe Sun7\u20138 May1,57123%49%17%11%26%PopulusThe Times2\u20134 May1,50929%40%19%11%11%1 May2008 United Kingdom local electionsComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent25\u201327 Apr1,00526%40%20%14%14%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph23\u201324 Apr1,01029%39%20%12%10%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph21\u201323 Apr2,07326%44%17%13%18%Ipsos-MORIThe Observer17\u201322 Apr1,05931%40%19%10%9%ICM\/The GurdianN\/A18\u201320 Apr1,00034%39%19%8%5%PopulusSunday Mirror16\u201317 Apr1,00630%40%19%11%10%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 Apr1,75528%44%17%11%16%PopulusThe Times8\u201310 Apr1,50233%39%17%6%6%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph2\u20133 Apr1,01032%43%18%7%11%ComResThe Independent28\u201330 Mar1,00431%38%17%14%7%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph25\u201327 Mar1,92629%43%17%11%14%Ipsos MORIN\/A13\u201318 Mar1,98335%40%18%7%5%ICMThe Guardian14\u201316 Mar1,00329%42%21%8%13%YouGovThe Sunday Times13\u201314 Mar2,31127%43%16%13%16%ICM[permanent dead link]News of the World12\u201313 Mar1,00231%40%20%9%9%PopulusThe Times7\u20139 Mar1,50234%37%19%10%3%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph25\u201327 Feb2,01133%40%16%11%7%Ipsos MORIN\/A21\u201326 Feb2,06337%39%16%8%2%ComResThe Independent22\u201324 Feb1,01030%41%17%12%11%YouGov\/The EconomistThe Economist18\u201320 Feb2,11834%40%16%11%6%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian15\u201317 Feb1,00334%37%21%8%3%YouGovThe Sunday Times14\u201315 Feb2,46932%41%16%11%9%PopulusThe Times1\u20133 Feb1,50431%40%17%12%9%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph30\u201331 Jan1,01232%37%21%10%5%ComResThe Independent25\u201327 Jan1,00330%38%17%15%8%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph21\u201323 Jan1,99233%41%16%10%8%Ipsos MORIN\/A17\u201322 Jan2,04538%37%16%9%1%ICMThe Guardian18\u201320 Jan1,00935%37%20%8%2%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 Jan2,13933%43%14%11%10%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph9\u201310 Jan1,01133%40%18%9%7%Ipsos MORIThe Sun9\u201310 Jan1,00632%42%15%11%10%PopulusThe Times4\u20136 Jan1,50933%37%19%11%4%2007[edit]PollsterClientDate(s)ConductedSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLeadICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian18\u201319 Dec1,03434%39%18%9%5%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph17\u201319 Dec2,06031%43%16%11%12%18 DecNick Clegg becomes leader of the Liberal DemocratsComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent14\u201316 Dec1,00430%41%16%12%11%YouGovThe Sunday Times13\u201314 Dec1,48132%45%14%10%13%PopulusThe Times7\u20139 Dec1,50632%40%16%11%8%Ipsos MORIN\/A29 Nov-7 Dec1,85935%42%14%9%7%ICM[permanent dead link]News of the World28\u201329 Nov1,01130%41%19%10%11%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph26\u201329 Nov4,00432%43%14%11%11%Ipsos MORIN\/A23\u201327 Nov1,93332%41%17%10%9%ComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent23\u201325 Nov1,00927%41%18%15%13%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian21\u201322 Nov1,00531%37%21%10%6%YouGovChannel 4 News21\u201322 Nov1,60032%41%14%13%9%YouGovThe Sunday Times14\u201316 Nov1,98335%41%13%11%6%ICM[permanent dead link]Sunday Express8\u201310 Nov1,00135%43%15%7%8%PopulusThe Times2\u20134 Nov1,50337%36%16%11%1%Ipsos MORIThe Sun31 Oct-1 Nov1,01335%40%13%12%5%ICM[permanent dead link]The Guardian26\u201328 Oct1,01135%40%18%7%5%ComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent26\u201328 Oct1,00233%42%15%10%8%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph22\u201324 Oct2,10538%41%11%10%3%Ipsos MORIThe Observer18\u201323 Oct1,98741%40%13%6%1%ICM[permanent dead link]The Sunday Telegraph10\u201311 Oct1,01036%43%14%8%7%Ipsos MORIThe Sun10 Oct1,00738%41%11%10%3%YouGovThe Sunday Times5\u20136 Oct1,75738%41%11%10%3%PopulusThe Times5\u20137 Oct1,00840%38%12%10%2%YouGovChannel 4 News3\u20134 Oct1,74140%36%13%11%4%ICMThe Guardian3\u20134 Oct1,00838%38%16%8%TiePopulusThe Times2\u20133 Oct1,00039%36%15%10%3%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph26\u201328 Sep2,16543%32%15%10%11%Ipsos MORIThe Observer27\u201328 Sep1,00041%34%16%9%7%PopulusThe Times26\u201327 Sep1,00241%31%17%10%10%Ipsos MORIN\/A20\u201326 Sep1,96444%31%15%10%13%YouGovChannel 4 News24\u201325 Sep1,34144%33%13%11%11%Ipsos MORIThe Sun20\u201322 Sep1,00942%34%14%10%8%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph19\u201321 Sep2,08539%33%16%12%6%ICMSunday Mirror19\u201320 Sep1,02939%33%19%9%6%ICMThe Guardian13\u201316 Sep1,00540%32%20%8%8%YouGovThe Sunday Times13\u201314 Sep1,94239%34%15%12%5%ComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent11\u201312 Sep1,00537%34%15%14%3%PopulusThe Times31 Aug-2 Sep1,50637%36%18%9%1%YouGovGMTV29\u201331 Aug2,15438%35%15%12%3%ComRes[permanent dead link]The Independent29\u201330 Aug1,01635%36%14%14%1%Ipsos MORIThe Sun23\u201329 Aug1,94141%36%16%7%5%PopulusConservative Party25\u201328 Aug53037%36%16%10%1%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph24\u201328 Aug2,26641%33%14%12%8%ICMThe Guardian22\u201323 Aug1,01639%34%18%9%5%YouGovThe Sunday Times9\u201310 Aug1,96642%32%14%12%10%ICMSunday Mirror8\u201310 Aug1,00739%33%18%10%6%Ipsos MORIThe Sun8\u20139 Aug53138%33%15%14%5%PopulusThe Times27\u201329 July1,51139%33%15%13%6%Communicate[permanent dead link]The Independent27\u201329 July1,00637%34%16%14%3%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph23\u201325 July1,87741%32%16%11%9%ICMThe Guardian20\u201322 July1,00538%32%20%10%6%YouGovThe Sunday Times19\u201320 July1,66440%33%15%12%7%Ipsos MORIThe Observer12\u201317 July1,91941%35%15%9%6%ICMSunday Mirror4\u20135 July1,00637%35%17%10%2%PopulusThe Times1 July1,50437%34%18%11%3%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph28\u201329 June1,88638%35%15%12%3%ICMThe Guardian27\u201328 June1,00539%35%18%8%4%27 JuneGordon Brown becomes Prime Minister of the United KingdomCommunicate[permanent dead link]The Independent22\u201324 June1,00532%37%18%13%5%Ipsos MORIThe Observer14\u201320 June1,97039%36%15%10%3%YouGovThe Sunday Times14\u201315 June1,75335%37%14%14%2%PopulusN\/A1\u20133 June1,50333%36%17%14%3%ICMThe Sunday Telegraph30\u201331 May1,01432%37%21%10%5%Communicate[permanent dead link]The Independent25\u201328 May1,00331%35%19%15%4%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph21\u201323 May2,05033%39%15%13%6%ICMThe Guardian18\u201320 May1,00332%34%21%12%2%PopulusThe Times11\u201313 May1,50433%37%17%13%4%YouGovThe Sunday Times10\u201311 May1,96234%38%15%14%4%3 May2007 United Kingdom local electionsYouGovThe Daily Telegraph23\u201325 Apr2,01932%37%18%14%5%Ipsos MORIThe Observer19\u201325 Apr1,16331%38%20%11%7%ICMThe Guardian20\u201322 Apr1,00530%37%21%12%7%PopulusThe Times13\u201315 Apr1,50329%37%20%14%8%YouGovThe Sunday Times4\u20135 Apr2,21831%39%16%14%8%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph26\u201328 Mar2,04232%39%17%13%7%Communicate[permanent dead link]N\/A23\u201325 Mar1,00231%35%20%14%4%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph21\u201322 Mar2,75231%39%16%14%8%ICMThe Guardian16\u201318 Mar1,01131%41%18%10%10%YouGovThe Sunday Times15\u201316 Mar1,89732%38%16%14%6%Ipsos MORIN\/A9\u201315 Mar1,98333%41%17%9%8%PopulusThe Times2\u20134 Mar1,50930%38%18%14%8%Communicate[permanent dead link]N\/A23\u201325 Feb1,00129%40%17%14%11%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph19\u201321 Feb2,29232%37%17%14%5%ICMThe Guardian16\u201318 Feb1,00031%40%19%10%9%YouGovThe Sunday Times8\u20139 Feb2,01932%37%18%14%5%PopulusThe Times2\u20134 Feb1,50933%36%19%12%3%Ipsos MORIN\/A19\u201329 Jan94935%39%19%7%4%Communicate[permanent dead link]N\/A26\u201328 Jan1,00829%34%21%16%5%YouGovThe Daily Telegraph22\u201324 Jan2,24531%38%18%13%7%ICMThe Guardian19\u201321 Jan1,00431%37%23%9%6%PopulusThe Times5\u20137 Jan1,50732%39%18%11%7%2006[edit]Date(s)ConductedPolling Organisation \/ ClientSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLead20\u201322 DecYouGov\/Sunday Times1,91832%37%15%15%5%18\u201320 DecYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,87433%37%17%13%4%19\u201320 DecCommunicate1,00937%36%14%14%1%15\u201317 DecICM\/The Guardian1,00632%40%18%10%8%9\u201312 DecIpsos MORI1,93836%37%18%9%1%8\u201310 DecPopulus\/The Times1,51333%34%19%14%1%28\u201330 NovYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,97932%37%16%15%5%29\u201330 NovICM\/News of the World1,00631%39%20%10%8%24\u201326 NovCommunicate1,00436%34%17%12%2%17\u201319 NovICM\/The Guardian1,00032%37%22%9%5%9\u201314 NovIpsos MORI1,11533%35%20%12%2%3\u20135 NovPopulus\/The Times1,51033%36%20%11%3%24\u201326 OctYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,72232%39%16%13%7%20\u201322 OctCommunicate97732%38%14%15%6%20\u201322 OctICM\/The Guardian1,01929%39%22%9%10%12\u201316 OctIpsos MORI\/Financial Times1,11337%35%18%10%2%6\u20138 OctPopulus\/The Times1,51535%36%18%11%1%4\u20135 OctICM\/Sunday Telegraph1,00532%38%20%10%6%28\u201330 SepICM\/Sunday Mirror1,02935%36%19%11%1%27\u201329 SepYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,84936%36%16%12%Tie21\u201322 SepYouGov\/Sunday Times1,54633%37%18%12%4%19\u201322 SepYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,73331%38%18%13%7%19\u201320 SepICM\/The Guardian1,06632%36%22%10%4%13\u201314 SepICM\/Sunday Mirror1,00333%37%21%8%4%13\u201314 SepYouGov\/The Sun1,51931%38%18%14%7%6\u20137 SepYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,50432%40%17%11%8%31 Aug \u2013 6 SepIpsos MORI\/Sunday Times1,18636%35%19%10%1%1\u20133 SepPopulus\/The Times1,50432%36%20%13%4%22\u201324 AugYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,75731%38%18%13%7%18\u201320 AugICM\/The Guardian1,00731%40%22%8%9%24\u201326 JulyYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,63333%38%18%11%5%20\u201324 JulyIpsos MORI1,89732%36%24%8%4%21\u201323 JulyICM\/The Guardian1,00135%39%17%9%4%7\u20139 JulyPopulus\/The Times1,51234%36%19%11%2%29 JuneBy-elections in Blaenau Gwent and Bromley & Chislehurst28\u201329 JuneICM\/Sunday Telegraph1,00335%36%18%11%1%26\u201328 JuneYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,96233%39%18%10%6%22\u201326 JuneIpsos MORI1,93133%36%21%10%3%21\u201323 JuneYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,00932%39%17%12%7%16\u201318 JuneICM\/The Guardian1,00532%37%21%9%5%8\u201312 JuneIpsos MORI\/The Observer1,97534%41%18%7%7%2\u20134 JunePopulus\/The Times1,50534%37%18%11%3%25\u201330 MayIpsos MORI1,98431%41%18%10%10%23\u201325 MayYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,10232%38%16%14%6%19\u201321 MayICM\/The Guardian1,00134%38%20%8%4%8\u20139 MayYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,91031%37%17%15%6%5\u20137 MayPopulus\/The Times1,51630%38%20%11%8%4 May2006 United Kingdom local elections27 Apr-2 MayIpsos MORI\/Financial Times1,07832%36%21%11%4%27\u201328 AprYouGov\/Sunday Times1,93032%35%18%15%3%21\u201323 AprICM\/The Guardian1,00632%34%24%10%2%20\u201322 AprIpsos MORI\/The Sun1,00630%30%25%15%Tie18\u201320 AprYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,07535%33%17%15%2%31 Mar-2 AprPopulus\/The Times1,50336%34%21%10%2%27\u201329 MarYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,87336%36%18%10%Tie16\u201321 MarIpsos MORI1,15539%34%19%8%5%16\u201318 MarICM\/Sunday Telegraph1,00337%33%21%9%4%16\u201317 MarYouGov\/Sunday Times1,81135%38%19%8%3%10\u201312 MarICM\/The Guardian1,00637%34%21%8%3%3\u20135 MarPopulus\/The Times1,50935%35%20%9%Tie2 MarSir Menzies Campbell becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats21\u201322 FebYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,01936%38%18%9%2%16\u201320 FebIpsos MORI\/The Sun1,14338%35%20%7%3%17\u201319 FebICM\/The Guardian[permanent dead link]1,00234%37%21%8%3%9\u201310 FebYouGov\/Sunday Times1,61739%37%15%10%2%9 FebDunfermline and West Fife by-election3\u20135 FebPopulus\/The Times1,50836%37%18%9%1%24\u201326 JanYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,09640%39%13%9%1%19\u201323 JanIpsos MORI1,16338%40%17%5%2%20\u201322 JanICM\/The Guardian1,00936%37%19%7%1%12\u201317 JanIpsos MORI\/The Sun54139%39%15%7%Tie6\u20138 JanPopulus\/The Times1,50939%36%16%9%3%2005[edit]Date(s)ConductedPolling Organisation \/ ClientSamplesizeLabConLib DemOthersLead15\u201318 DecICM\/The Guardian1,00436%37%21%7%1%13\u201315 DecYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,07136%38%18%8%2%9\u201312 DecMORI\/The Observer1,00031%40%20%9%9%9\u201311 DecPopulus\/The Times1,52138%35%19%8%3%6\u20138 DecYouGov\/Sunday Times2,08936%37%18%8%1%7\u20138 DecICM\/The Guardian1,00335%37%21%7%2%6 DecDavid Cameron becomes leader of the Conservative Party5\u20136 DecYouGov\/Sky News1,61236%36%18%10%Tie22\u201324 NovYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,61637%35%20%8%2%17\u201322 NovMORI1,08942%32%19%7%10%18\u201320 NovICM\/The Guardian1,01338%33%19%10%5%4\u20136 NovPopulus\/The Times1,51240%32%19%9%8%2\u20133 NovICM\/Sunday Telegraph1,01039%33%21%7%6%25\u201327 OctYouGov\/Daily Telegraph1,94740%32%19%9%8%20\u201325 OctMORI1,90440%34%21%5%6%19\u201320 OctICM\/The Guardian[permanent dead link]1,00736%33%22%8%3%7\u20139 OctPopulus\/The Times1,50940%30%21%9%10%5\u20136 OctICM\/News of the World1,01538%32%22%8%5%27\u201329 SepYouGov\/Daily Telegraph2,18340%32%20%9%8%22\u201326 SepMORI1,13239%29%25%7%10%16\u201317 SepICM\/The Guardian1,01340%31%21%8%9%8\u20139 SepYouGov\/Sunday Times1,85637%32%21%10%5%2\u20134 SepPopulus\/The Times1,50637%35%20%8%2%19\u201324 AugYouGov\/Daily Telegraph\u201340%33%20%7%7%11\u201315 AugMORI1,19139%31%24%6%8%12\u201314 AugICM\/The Guardian1,00638%31%22%9%7%26\u201328 JulyYouGov\/Daily Telegraph\u201340%31%21%8%9%22\u201324 JulyPopulus\/The Times1,50640%28%22%10%12%14\u201318 JulyMORI\/The Observer1,22741%28%25%6%13%15\u201317 JulyICM\/The Guardian1,00539%31%23%7%8%28\u201330 JuneYouGov\/Daily Telegraph3,71738%33%20%9%5%16\u201320 JuneMORI1,22742%29%21%8%13%17\u201319 JuneICM\/The Guardian1,00538%31%23%8%7%24\u201326 MayYouGov\/Daily Telegraph\u201338%31%23%8%7%19\u201323 MayMORI\/Financial Times1,27437%30%26%7%7%5 May2005 general election\u201336.2%33.2%22.7%7.9%3%See also[edit]^ Hennessy, Patrick; Kite, Melissa (7 October 2007). “Gordon Brown: Why I put off an early election”. The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 20 January 2021.^ Sylvester, Rachel (22 April 2015). “What if… Gordon Brown had called an election in 2007?”. Prospect Magazine. Retrieved 20 January 2021.^ Wintour, Patrick (8 June 2009). “European elections: Labour suffers long, dark night of humiliation”. The Guardian. Retrieved 19 January 2021.^ Wyburn-Powell, Alun (11 June 2014). “The rise of multi-party politics heightens the chances of a perverse and unrepresentative outcome in next year’s General Election” (PDF). Democratic Audit UK. London School of Economics. Retrieved 15 December 2020.^ Predicting Results UK Polling Report^ Baston, Lewis (18 April 2010). “Pollwatch: Election 2010 could be the death knell for first past the post”. The Guardian. ISSN\u00a00261-3077.^ Barone, Michael (19 April 2010). “The Lib Dems surge in Britain”. Washington Examiner.^ Election 2010: Lib Dem policies targeted by rivals BBC News, 19 April 2010^ Wells, Anthony (10 December 2005). “Tories take the Lead”. UKPollingReport. Retrieved 15 March 2010.^ Wells, Anthony (29 January 2010). “YouGov show Tory lead cut to 7 points”. UK Polling Report.^ Editorial (20 April 2010). “General election 2010: All change for new politics”. The Guardian.^ Election Exit Poll: Tories will be 19 short of majority BBC News, 6 May 2010^ a b “Live coverage\u00a0\u2013 General Election 2010”. BBC News. 6 May 2010. Retrieved 6 May 2010.^ “Parties surprised by exit poll”. BBC News. 6 May 2010. Retrieved 7 May 2010.^ a b c d e f g h BPIX is not a member of the British Polling Council, unlike the other main pollsters such as YouGov, ComRes, Populus, Ipsos MORI, and ICM. Therefore, the full details of its polls are not subject to public disclosure.P \u2013 The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out is unknown, therefore the date of publication has been given.External links[edit]"},{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/#breadcrumbitem","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/en\/wiki5\/opinion-polling-for-the-2010-united-kingdom-general-election\/#breadcrumbitem","name":"Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election"}}]}]