[{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BlogPosting","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/457#BlogPosting","mainEntityOfPage":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/457","headline":"\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593 – Wikipedia","name":"\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593 – Wikipedia","description":"\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306f\u691c\u8a3c\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u3084\u51fa\u5178\u304c\u5168\u304f\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3001\u4e0d\u5341\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002\u51fa\u5178\u3092\u8ffd\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u8a18\u4e8b\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u5411\u4e0a\u306b\u3054\u5354\u529b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u51fa\u5178\u691c\u7d22?:\u00a0“\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593”\u00a0\u2013\u00a0\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u00a0\u00b7 \u66f8\u7c4d\u00a0\u00b7 \u30b9\u30ab\u30e9\u30fc\u00a0\u00b7 CiNii\u00a0\u00b7 J-STAGE\u00a0\u00b7 NDL\u00a0\u00b7 dlib.jp\u00a0\u00b7 \u30b8\u30e3\u30d1\u30f3\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u00a0\u00b7 TWL\uff082021\u5e745\u6708\uff09 \u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\uff08\u3057\u3093\u3088\u3046\u304f\u304b\u3093\u3001\u82f1: Credible interval, CI\uff09\u307e\u305f\u306f\u78ba\u4fe1\u533a\u9593\uff08\u304b\u304f\u3057\u3093\u304f\u304b\u3093\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u771f\u5024\u304c\u542b\u307e\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u304b\u306a\u308a\u78ba\u4fe1\u3067\u304d\u308b\u6570\u5024\u7bc4\u56f2\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u307095%CI\u3068\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u306b95%\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u5024\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u78ba\u4fe1\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002 \u6570\u5b66\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u03b8 \u306e 100(1-\u03b1)%\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u3068\u306f\u3001 P{C|X=x}=1\u2212\u03b1{displaystyle P{C|X=x}=1-alpha } \u3092\u6e80\u305f\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306a\u90e8\u5206\u96c6\u5408\uff23","datePublished":"2017-12-30","dateModified":"2017-12-30","author":{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/author\/lordneo#Person","name":"lordneo","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/author\/lordneo","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/c9645c498c9701c88b89b8537773dd7c?s=96&d=mm&r=g","height":96,"width":96}},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/wiki4\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/download.jpg","width":600,"height":60}},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/6\/64\/Question_book-4.svg\/50px-Question_book-4.svg.png","url":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/6\/64\/Question_book-4.svg\/50px-Question_book-4.svg.png","height":"39","width":"50"},"url":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/457","about":["Wiki"],"wordCount":1014,"articleBody":"\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306f\u691c\u8a3c\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u3084\u51fa\u5178\u304c\u5168\u304f\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3001\u4e0d\u5341\u5206\u3067\u3059\u3002\u51fa\u5178\u3092\u8ffd\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u8a18\u4e8b\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u5411\u4e0a\u306b\u3054\u5354\u529b\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u51fa\u5178\u691c\u7d22?:\u00a0“\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593”\u00a0\u2013\u00a0\u30cb\u30e5\u30fc\u30b9\u00a0\u00b7 \u66f8\u7c4d\u00a0\u00b7 \u30b9\u30ab\u30e9\u30fc\u00a0\u00b7 CiNii\u00a0\u00b7 J-STAGE\u00a0\u00b7 NDL\u00a0\u00b7 dlib.jp\u00a0\u00b7 \u30b8\u30e3\u30d1\u30f3\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u00a0\u00b7 TWL\uff082021\u5e745\u6708\uff09\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\uff08\u3057\u3093\u3088\u3046\u304f\u304b\u3093\u3001\u82f1: Credible interval, CI\uff09\u307e\u305f\u306f\u78ba\u4fe1\u533a\u9593\uff08\u304b\u304f\u3057\u3093\u304f\u304b\u3093\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u771f\u5024\u304c\u542b\u307e\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3001\u304b\u306a\u308a\u78ba\u4fe1\u3067\u304d\u308b\u6570\u5024\u7bc4\u56f2\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u307095%CI\u3068\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7bc4\u56f2\u306b95%\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u5024\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u78ba\u4fe1\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002  \u6570\u5b66\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u03b8 \u306e 100(1-\u03b1)%\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u3068\u306f\u3001P{C|X=x}=1\u2212\u03b1{displaystyle P{C|X=x}=1-alpha }\u3092\u6e80\u305f\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306a\u90e8\u5206\u96c6\u5408\uff23 \u2282 \u0398 \u3067\u3042\u308b[1]\u3002  \u4f1d\u7d71\u7684\u983b\u5ea6\u8ad6\u3067\u306e\u771f\u5024\u306f\u70b9\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u306f\u300c\u7bc4\u56f2\u5185\u306b\u771f\u306e\u5024\u3092\u542b\u3080\u78ba\u7387\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7406\u89e3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u304c\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u306f\u771f\u5024\u306f\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u3057\u3001\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u306f\u300c\u771f\u306e\u5024\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u7bc4\u56f2\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u7406\u89e3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002  \u7b49\u88fe\u4e8b\u5f8c\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u306e\u4f8b\uff1a\u8d64\u7e26\u7dda\u306e\u5916\u5074\u306f\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c2.5%\u983b\u5ea6\u4e3b\u7fa9\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u3057\u3070\u3057\u3070\u9593\u9055\u3044\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3001\u300c\u25a1\u25a1\u306e\u5024\u304c a \u304b\u3089 b \u306e\u9593\u306b\u5165\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u25cb%\u3067\u3042\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306e\u8a00\u3044\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u306f\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u3002    \u6700\u9ad8\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5bc6\u5ea6\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u306e\u4f8b\uff1a\u8d64\u7e26\u7dda\u306e\u5916\u5074\u306f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u30665%\u7b49\u88fe\u4e8b\u5f8c\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\uff08\u3068\u3046\u304d\u3087\u3058\u3054\u3057\u3093\u3088\u3046\u304f\u304b\u3093\u3001Equal-Tail Interval\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u969b\u306b\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u4e21\u7aef\u3092\u7b49%\u305a\u3064\u5207\u308a\u843d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u533a\u9593\u3092\u3044\u3046\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u307095%\u7b49\u88fe\u4e8b\u5f8c\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u969b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6bcd\u6570\u306e\u4e8b\u5f8c\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u4e21\u7aef2.5%\u3092\u5207\u308a\u843d\u3068\u3057\u305f\u7bc4\u56f2\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u6700\u9ad8\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5bc6\u5ea6\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\uff08\u3055\u3044\u3053\u3046\u3058\u3054\u307f\u3064\u3069\u3057\u3093\u3088\u3046\u304f\u304b\u3093\u3001Highest posterior density interval\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u304b\u3089\u5206\u5e03\u5bc6\u5ea6\u304c\u3042\u308b\u5024\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3092\u3068\u308b\u533a\u9593\u3092\u5207\u308a\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3001\u5f53\u8a72%\u3068\u306a\u308b\u69d8\u306a\u533a\u9593\u3092\u3044\u3046\u3002\u975e\u5bfe\u79f0\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6700\u3082\u72ed\u3044\u533a\u9593\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u307095%\u6700\u9ad8\u4e8b\u5f8c\u5bc6\u5ea6\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u969b\u306b\u3001\u4e0b\u50741\uff05\u70b9\u3068\u4e0a\u50744%\u70b9\u306e\u9ad8\u3055\uff08\u78ba\u7387\u5bc6\u5ea6\uff09\u304c\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3042\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u4e0b\u50741\uff05\u672a\u6e80\u3068\u4e0a\u50744%\u8d85\u3092\u5207\u308a\u843d\u3068\u3057\u305f\u7bc4\u56f2\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002^ \u201c\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u533a\u9593\u63a8\u5b9a\u3092\u89e3\u8aac\uff01\u983b\u5ea6\u8ad6\u3068\u306e\u9055\u3044\u3082\uff01\u201d (\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e). AVILEN AI Trend (2018\u5e746\u670822\u65e5). 2021\u5e745\u670817\u65e5\u95b2\u89a7\u3002"},{"@context":"http:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/#breadcrumbitem","name":"Enzyklop\u00e4die"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https:\/\/wiki.edu.vn\/jp\/wiki2\/archives\/457#breadcrumbitem","name":"\u4fe1\u7528\u533a\u9593 – Wikipedia"}}]}]